|

Silver Price Analysis: Oversold RSI tests XAG/USD bears at three-month low under $21.00

  • Silver price remains pressured at the lowest levels in three months.
  • RSI conditions limit immediate downside near three-week-old descending trend line.
  • Descending megaphone formation suggests more volatility towards the south.
  • Recovery remains elusive unless crossing 100-SMA.

Silver price (XAG/USD) takes offers to reverse the week-start corrective bounce off the three-month low during the mid-Asian session on Monday. In doing so, the bright metal pokes the key $20.75-70 zone, the lowest since late November 2022, as the oversold RSI (14) probes the quote’s further downside.

However, a downward-sloping megaphone trend-widening chart formation, stretching from early February, joins the bearish MACD signals to keep XAG/USD sellers hopeful.

That said, the bullion’s further downside could aim for the November 21, 2022 swing low of $20.58 before challenging the stated megaphone’s lower line, close to $20.55 at the latest.

Though, the RSI conditions and the aforementioned $20.55 trend line support may restrict the commodity’s further downside.

Alternatively, a three-day-old descending resistance line, near $21.00, restricts immediate recovery moves of the Silver price.

Following that, the stated megaphone’s top line, around $21.80 by the press time, could challenge the XAG/USD buyers.

It’s worth noting, however, that the metal’s upside remains doubtful unless crossing the 100-SMA level surrounding $21.90.

Also acting as an upside filter is the previous weekly top of near $22.00, a break of which could direct the buyers towards the November 2022 high of $22.25.

Overall, the Silver price remains bearish but the downside appears limited amid oversold RSI conditions.

Silver price: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price20.78
Today Daily Change0.02
Today Daily Change %0.10%
Today daily open20.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.2
Daily SMA5023.14
Daily SMA10022.02
Daily SMA20021.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High21.4
Previous Daily Low20.74
Previous Weekly High21.98
Previous Weekly Low20.74
Previous Monthly High24.55
Previous Monthly Low22.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%20.99
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.15
Daily Pivot Point S120.53
Daily Pivot Point S220.31
Daily Pivot Point S319.87
Daily Pivot Point R121.2
Daily Pivot Point R221.63
Daily Pivot Point R321.86

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gains traction to near 1.1800 as tariff uncertainty weighs on US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground around 1.1795 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens against the Euro amid US tariff uncertainty. The release of the US January Producer Price Index report will be in the spotlight later on Friday. 

GBP/USD treads water near 1.3500 as BoE-Fed divergence debate stalls

GBP/USD spent Monday spinning in place as market participants await a fresh catalyst to break the pair out of its recent range. The BoE's February hold came with a surprisingly dovish 5-4 split, and UK Consumer Price Index data last week showed inflation easing to 3.0%, reinforcing the case for earlier rate cuts, with most economists now looking to April or March for the next move. 

Gold down but not out as key $5,140 support holds

Gold consolidates the advance to monthly top of $5,250 in Tuesday’s Asian trades. The US Dollar finds demand as liquidity returns and risk sentiment recovers, despite US tariffs uncertainty. Gold defends 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 amid the pullback, daily RSI remains bullish.

Top Crypto Losers: BCH, HYPE, PUMP extend losses as Bitcoin drops below $64,000

Altcoins, including Bitcoin Cash, Hyperliquid, and Pump.fun, are leading losses over the last 24 hours as Bitcoin falls below $64,000 on Tuesday. The technical outlook for BCH, HYPE, and PUMP flags downside risk amid broader market selling.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

XRP recovers slightly as bearish sentiment dominates crypto market

Ripple is rising above $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid fresh tariff-triggered headwinds in the broader cryptocurrency market. The sell-off to $1.33, the token’s intraday low, can be attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and risk-averse sentiment among other factors.