Forex Today: Safe-havens strongly bid as US bombs Syria, UK IP, NFP in focus


Volatility was back in Asia along with risk-aversion after big news of the US attacking the Syrian airfield broke on the wires. Yen emerged the strongest across the fx space, while gold rallied almost 1% to the highest levels since Feb 26 amid increased flight to safety, as markets dumped risky assets in search for safety bets.

As a result, risk currencies such as the Antipodeans and GBP came under heavy selling pressure, with the Aussie losing the most. Also, the Asian equities and treasury yields felt the heat of the US military strike on Syria’s target. The US launched 60 missiles in response to Syria’s chemical attack, with the US President Trump noting that the strike on Syria was in the 'vital national security interest' of the US.

Amidst the news of the US attack, the focus seen on the Trump-Xi meeting got somewhat diverted, as markets witnessed a sudden turnaround in risk sentiment. Risk-on prevailed in the overnight trades amid a recovery in Wall Street stocks and treasury yields, as markets remained expectant of a positive outcome from the much-awaited Trump-Xi meeting.

According to Fox news report released earlier on the day, President Trump at a dinner with President Xi said, “I can see that long-term, we are going to have a very, very great relationship and I look very much forward to it”.

Looking ahead, we have an action-packed economic calendar for today, kicking-off with the German industrial production and trade data, followed by a slew of releases from the UK docket, including the Halifax HPI, industrial production and BOE Carney’s speech.

Meanwhile, the employment reports from both the North American economies are expected to hog the limelight, particularly the US payrolls data. Besides, the Canadian Ivey PMI and FOMC member Dudley’s speech will be also closely eyed.

Main Headlines in Asia:

Trump sees great relationship with China in the long-run

Japan’s Aso - US-Japan dialogue will also include Energy & Infrastructure

US military strikes Syrian airfield

US launches dozens of cruise missiles at airbase in Syria

US President Trump: Strike on Syria in the 'vital national security interest' of the US

Syrian Military Source: US missile strike on Syrian air base "led to losses" - State TV

Pentagon: US informed Russia ahead of missile strike on Syria's Shayrat airfield

US Sec of State Tillerson: "We sought no approval from Moscow”

Key Focus Ahead:

US Non-Farm Payroll data

High expectations of a good nonfarm payrolls report - Nomura

How are you going to play nonfarms payrolls? - Nomura

5 Things to watch in the March NFP report - WSJ

GMT
Event
Vol.
Actual
Consensus
Previous
Thursday, Apr 06
12:30
234K
250K
259K Revised from 258K
12:30
2.028M
2.040M
2.052M
13:00
 
 
$399B
13:30
 
 
14:30
2B
10B
-43B
n/a
 
 
23:30
51.2
 
83.1
23:50
$1,230.3B
 
$1,232.3B
Friday, Apr 07
24h
 
 
00:00
0.4%
0.5%
0.3% Revised from 0.5%
05:00
 
104.7
104.9
05:00
 
 
115.1
05:45
 
3.3%
3.3%
06:00
 
 
0%
06:00
 
-0.2%
2.8%
06:00
 
-0.5%
3.0%
06:00
 
 
€12.8B
06:00
 
€18.4B
€18.5B
06:00
 
-0.5%
2.7%
06:00
 
 
$41.506B
06:00
 
 
$46.722B
06:00
 
 
€-0.455B
06:00
 
 
0.2%
06:30
 
 
-2.6%
06:45
 
 
€45.1B
06:45
 
€-4.9B
€-7.9B
06:45
 
 
€37.2B
06:45
 
0.5%
-0.3%
06:45
 
 
€-7B
06:45
 
 
€-5.4B
07:00
 
 
2.6%
07:00
 
 
-5.3%
07:00
 
3.1%
2.5%
07:00
 
 
7.4%
07:00
 
 
0.3%
07:00
 
 
4.7%
07:00
 
 
€152M
07:00
 
 
644B
07:30
 
0.3%
0.1%
07:30
 
3.9%
5.1%
08:00
 
 
1.4%
08:00
 
 
-0.1%
08:00
 
 
€105.39B
08:30
 
3.9%
2.7%
08:30
 
0.2%
-0.4%
08:30
 
0.3%
-0.9%
08:30
 
3.7%
3.2%
08:30
 
 
£-2.447B
08:30
 
 
£-1.97B
08:30
 
£-10.700B
£-10.833B
09:00
 
 
0.4%
09:00
 
 
0.1%
09:00
 
 
11:30
 
 
$236M
12:00
 
 
0.6%
12:30
 
180K
235K
12:30
 
34.4
34.4
12:30
 
 
2.8%
12:30
 
 
63%
12:30
 
 
0.2%
12:30
 
4.7%
4.7%
12:30
 
5.0K
15.3K
12:30
 
 
65.8%
12:30
 
6.7%
6.6%
13:00
 
 
€104.6B
13:00
 
 
0.76%
13:00
 
 
0.58%
13:00
 
 
4.86%
14:00
 
0.4%
0.4%
14:00
 
 
55.1
14:00
 
 
55
14:30
 
 
-20.18B
17:00
 
 
662
19:00
 
 
$8.79B
19:30
 
 
$137.8K
19:30
 
 
$160.8K
19:30
 
 
398.1K
19:30
 
 
£-104.1K
19:30
 
 
¥-53.2K
19:30
 
 
€-7.9K
19:30
 
 
$53.1K
22:00
 
 
Saturday, Apr 08
n/a
 
 
Sunday, Apr 09
24h
 
 
23:50
 
 
¥65.5B
23:50
 
 
¥-853.4B
Monday, Apr 10
01:30
 
 
4.2%
01:30
 
 
0.5%
02:00
 
 
11.1%
02:00
 
 
1,170B
05:00
 
 
50.6
05:00
 
 
48.6
05:00
 
 
9.1%
06:00
 
 
0%
06:00
 
 
€-0.602B
06:00
 
 
2.5%
06:00
 
 
0.5%
06:00
 
 
1.6%
06:00
 
 
0.4%
06:00
 
 
18.8%
07:00
 
 
1%
07:00
 
 
0.9%
07:00
 
 
07:00
 
 
18.1B
07:00
 
 
0.4%
07:00
 
 
5.3%
07:00
 
 
2.5%
08:00
 
 
-2.3%
08:00
 
 
-0.5%
08:00
 
 
08:30
 
 
20.7
09:00
 
 
7.2%
09:00
 
 
1.4%
09:00
 
 
1.3%
10:00
 
 
€-3.11B
11:00
 
 
$8.9B
12:15
 
 
210.2K
n/a
 
 
1.3
15:30
 
 
0.79%
15:30
 
 
0.91%
17:00
 
 
1.63%
21:45
 
 
-0.6%
21:45
 
 
2.6%
Tuesday, Apr 11
01:30
 
 
9
01:30
 
 
7
03:00
 
 
6.8%
06:00
 
 
-0.5%
06:00
 
 
0.2%
07:00
 
 
€-639.2M
07:00
 
 
6.5%
07:00
 
 
1.8%
07:00
 
 
2.9%
07:00
 
 
7.6%
07:30
 
 
0.7%
07:30
 
 
1.8%
08:00
 
 
$-2.762B
08:30
 
 
3.2%
08:30
 
 
1.1%
08:30
 
 
6.2%
08:30
 
 
0.2%
08:30
 
 
3.7%
08:30
 
 
0%
08:30
 
 
19.1%
08:30
 
 
-0.4%
08:30
 
 
2.4%
08:30
 
 
0.7%
08:30
 
 
2%
08:30
 
 
2.3%
09:00
 
 
77.3
09:00
 
 
12.8
09:00
 
 
25.6
10:00
 
 
105.3
10:00
 
 
0.9%
10:00
 
 
0.6%
11:00
 
 
0.8%
12:55
 
 
1.3%
12:55
 
 
-0.7%
13:00
 
 
0.1%
13:00
 
 
-0.1%
13:00
 
 
$11.445B
14:00
 
 
5.626M
15:30
 
 
0.76%
17:00
 
 
2.56%
19:00
 
 
2.5%
20:30
 
 
-1.83M
23:00
 
 
4%
23:00
 
 
-0.4%
23:50
 
 
2.8%
23:50
 
 
0.2%
23:50
 
 
1%
23:50
 
 
-8.2%
23:50
 
 
-3.2%
Wednesday, Apr 12
00:30
 
 
7.8%
00:30
 
 
-0.2%
00:30
 
 
0.8%
05:00
 
 
2%
05:00
 
 
-1.5%
07:00
 
 
-0.4%
07:00
 
 
-0.3%
07:00
 
 
3%
07:00
 
 
2.1%
08:30
 
 
-11.3K
08:30
 
 
2.1%
08:30
 
 
4.7%
08:30
 
 
2.3%
08:30
 
 
2.2%
n/a
 
 
0.41%
n/a
 
 
1.787%
11:00
 
 
-1.6%
11:00
 
 
-2.3%
11:30
 
 
7.7%
11:30
 
 
2.3%
11:30
 
 
2.7%
11:30
 
 
0.6%
12:00
 
 
0.3%
12:30
 
 
0.2%
12:30
 
 
3.1%
12:30
 
 
4.6%
12:30
 
 
0.3%
13:00
 
 
-0.7%
14:00
 
 
14:00
 
 
0.5%
14:30
 
 
1.566M
14:30
 
 
15:15
 
 
17:00
 
 
3.17%
18:00
 
 
$-192B
22:30
 
 
55.2
22:45
 
 
0.2%
23:01
 
 
24%
23:50
 
 
4.2%
23:50
 
 
¥1,099.8B
23:50
 
 
¥584.5B
Thursday, Apr 13
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
01:00
 
 
1.25%
01:00
 
 
4%
01:30
 
 
01:30
 
 
-6.4K
01:30
 
 
27.1K
01:30
 
 
-33.5K
01:30
 
 
64.6%
01:30
 
 
5.9%
n/a
 
 
38.1%
n/a
 
 
-60.4B
n/a
 
 
-1.3%
n/a
 
 
$-9.15B
n/a
 
 
44.7%
n/a
 
 
4.2%
04:30
 
 
3.4%
06:00
 
 
1.6%
06:00
 
 
0.1%
06:00
 
 
0.2%
06:00
 
 
1.5%
06:00
 
 
€0B
06:00
 
 
1.2%
06:30
 
 
6.55%
06:45
 
 
1.4%
06:45
 
 
0.1%
06:45
 
 
0.2%
07:00
 
 
2.4%
07:00
 
 
1.2%
07:00
 
 
0.5%
07:00
 
 
1.9%
07:00
 
 
0.6%
07:15
 
 
1.3%
07:15
 
 
-0.2%
08:00
 
 
1.3%
08:00
 
 
1.8%
08:00
 
 
0%
08:00
 
 
1.4%
08:00
 
 
29.4B
08:30
 
 
10:00
 
 
-0.5%
10:00
 
 
0.3%
10:00
 
 
-0.5%
10:00
 
 
0.2%
12:30
 
 
0.3%
12:30
 
 
1.5%
12:30
 
 
2.2%
12:30
 
 
0.3%
12:30
 
 
234K
12:30
 
 
2.028M
12:30
 
 
0.6%
12:30
 
 
3.1%
12:30
 
 
0.1%
13:00
 
 
€2,457M
13:00
 
 
14:00
 
 
96.9
14:30
 
 
2B
21:00
 
 
3.25%
21:00
 
 
4.9%
21:00
 
 
9.1%
Friday, Apr 14
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
n/a
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
04:30
 
 
2%
04:30
 
 
4.8%
04:30
 
 
0.1%

 

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