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RBNZ's McDermott - Bank could change language if NZD appreciates in TWI terms

RBNZ Assistant Governor McDermott has warned that central bank could use different language if the NZD exchange rate appreciates on a trade-weighted index (TWI) basis. 

The RBNZ Governor Spencer took note of the rise in the nominal exchange rate earlier today, and said, "we assume the trade-weighted exchange rate will ease over the projection period.”

McDermott comments (via Reuters)

  • Comfortable with TWI moves, not enough to move us from current strategy
  • If TWI kept moving up and was following trend, think RBNZ would start using different language
  • Weakness against USD not what we anticipated; question is will it last
  • Little change in view on inflation for last few quarters
  • Core inflation still needs a little shove to get it towards midpoint of target range
  • Non-tradeable inflation, inflation expectations key influences on OCR track
  • Range of risks to outlook mean equal probability next move could be cut
  • GDP revisions suggest speed limit for economy moved up to near 3 pct before inflation generated
  • Equity market volatility considered at meeting, not material at moment

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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