Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP/USD holds gains amid increasing Fed rate cut bets in December

FXStreet Team FXStreet

GBP/USD treads water above 1.3150 as Fed rate cuts climb

GBP/USD inches higher after three days of losses, trading around 1.3160 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair holds ground as the US Dollar (USD) struggles amid improving Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut bets. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are now pricing in 71% probability of a Fed rate cut in December, up from 66% the previous day.

However, the upside of the GBP/USD pair could be limited as the Greenback may receive support from decreasing odds of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that the central bank is struggling to balance its dual mandate of controlling inflation and supporting employment due to limited data availability amid the ongoing US government shutdown. Powell cautioned that policymakers may have to adopt a wait-and-see approach until official data reporting resumes. He also added that another rate cut in December is far from certain, emphasizing that the outlook remains uncertain. Read more...

GBP/USD tests six months lows as Pound Sterling continues to sink

GBP/USD fell again on Thursday, grinding down toward the 1.3100 handle and tipping into six month lows at 1.3116. The Pound Sterling (GBP) continues to shed weight against the US Dollar (USD), and is down over 2% against the Greenback through the month of October alone.

Cable has declined for all but one of the last ten straight trading days, plummeting from a half-hearted swing high into 1.3450 and is now knocking on the 1.3100 handle. GBP/USD has fallen below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 1.3275, setting up Pound sellers for a continued backslide. Read more...

GBP/USD sinks below 1.32 as Powell’s 'hawkish cut' strengthens US Dollar

GBP/USD extends its losses for the third straight day on Thursday, diving over 0.25% as traders push the exchange rate below the 1.3200 handle, following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) 'hawkish' rate cut as the Chairman Jerome Powell poured cold water on a reduction in December’s meeting. At the time of writing, GBP/USD trades at 1.3160 after hitting a daily high of 1.3218.

On Wednesday, the Fed cut rates to 3.75%-4% amid the lack of economic data due to the US government shutdown, entering its thirtieth day. The decision was not unanimous, with Fed Governor Stephen Miran opting for a 50-bps cut, while the Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid voted to hold rates unchanged. Read more...

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GBP/USD hangs close to 1.3500, awaits fresh impetus from US CPI

GBP/USD keeps its range around 1.3500 in Wednesday's European trading. The pair continues to trade with caution as the US Dollar (USD) holds ground ahead of a crucial US consumer inflation report. Investors are watching this upcoming reading closely, as it is expected to play a major role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision and the USD valuation.

EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1550 ahead of US CPI

EUR/USD struggles to gain any meaningful traction and holds steady around 1.1550 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, maintaining a familiar range held over the past week or so. Traders keenly await the release of the key US inflation data and further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold retakes $4,400, eyes two-month high as traders look to US CPI for Fed hike cues

Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday and climbs back above the $4,400 mark, closer to its highest level since June 5, which was touched the previous day. Traders now look to the US Consumer Price Index report for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's future policy path amid inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices.

Crypto Overview: Bitcoin loses $64,000 – LINK, DOGE sustain gains

Bitcoin is trading below $64,000 amid a broader market risk-off sentiment. Emerging as top performers over the last 24 hours, Chainlink and Dogecoin sustain gains, hinting at an extended recovery. CoinMarketCap’s Fear and Greed Index at 38 reflects persistent risk-averse sentiment in the crypto market.

AI defies the disinflationary playbook: Why lower oil prices might not be enough to cool core inflation

The global economic landscape has been fixated on the Middle East since the US-Iran war started in late February, reacting to significant changes in crude Oil prices and assessing how they could influence inflation dynamics and growth outlook.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.