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Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP remains vulnerable on weak UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD dips as Retail Sales slide

The markets were expecting a letdown from December retail sales after a strong November reading, but nobody was expecting a multi-year drop. Yet that’s what happened, as retail sales plunged 3.2% m/m, the lowest level since January 2021. Considering the sharp drop, the British pound’s reaction has been muted.

In November, retail sales jumped a revised 1.4%, as shoppers flocked to department stores to take advantage of Black Friday sales and other discounts. This meant that much of the Christmas shopping took place in November. The massive drop of 3.2% crushed the consensus estimate of -0.5%. Read more...

GBPUSD

Pound Sterling remains vulnerable on weak UK Retail Sales data

The Pound Sterling (GBP) falls sharply as the United Kingdom Office of National Statistics (ONS) reports downbeat Retail Sales data for December. UK household spending contracted significantly as individuals faced the heavy burden of higher interest rates and consumer price inflation, which deepened the cost-of-living crisis. A sharp decline in high street sales would have been expected to ease pressure on the stubbornly high inflation outlook but in the end it was insufficient to move the needle.

A significant contraction in the Retail Sales could have increased the odds of an early rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE). In spite of a significant fall in the UK consumer spending, however, BoE policymakers are expected to maintain a restrictive monetary policy stance until they are convinced that the underlying inflation will return to a 2% target in a timely and sustainable manner. Read more...

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2682
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.13
Today daily open1.2699
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2713
Daily SMA501.2628
Daily SMA1001.2452
Daily SMA2001.255
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2704
Previous Daily Low1.2648
Previous Weekly High1.2786
Previous Weekly Low1.2674
Previous Monthly High1.2828
Previous Monthly Low1.2501
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2683
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.267
Daily Pivot Point S11.2664
Daily Pivot Point S21.2628
Daily Pivot Point S31.2608
Daily Pivot Point R11.2719
Daily Pivot Point R21.2739
Daily Pivot Point R31.2775

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