|

Oil prices under pressure after US tariff announcement – Commerzbank

Oil prices came under significant pressure following US President Trump's tariff announcements, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.

Oil prices fall towards $65 per barrel

"Brent fell by more than 6% and dropped below the $70 per barrel mark. The surprising production increase by OPEC+ also contributed to the price slide. Shortly before the announcement of far-reaching tariffs on Wednesday evening, Brent was still trading at $75. There are concerns that the tariffs will lead to a further weakening of oil demand, especially as China is particularly hard hit by the reciprocal tariffs."

"If the other countries respond to the US tariffs with counter-tariffs, this could set off a spiral of tariffs that would put even more pressure on demand. As energy imports are exempt from tariffs, US refineries are not required to pay tariffs when importing crude oil from Canada and Mexico."

"Demand for Canadian oil could nevertheless fall in the short term, as US refineries have apparently brought forward purchases in anticipation of tariffs. In the last reporting week, US crude oil imports from Canada rose by 11% to their highest level since the beginning of January, according to data from the US Energy Information Administration."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).