Oil: OPEC+ drops its plans to return the oil production – TDS

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Reports that OPEC+ has kicked the can on its plans to return unwanted barrels back to markets by three months will keep crude oil prices from falling further in the imminent term, but the drag from energy supply risk premia will persist nonetheless, TDS’ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.

Drag from energy supply risk premia set to persist

“Our return decomposition framework points to few tailwinds from supply risk premia this session, despite this supportive announcement, corroborating our view.”

“Resurgent geopolitical risks are key to supply-side tailwinds, which adds focus on a potential return of President-elect Trump's 'maximum pressure' policy on Iranian crude exports, and on geopolitical risks in the Middle East which remain at their highest levels since at least the Gulf War.”

“Alternatively, could China have a surprise in store? Our tracking of Shanghai traders' positions in base metals continues to point to notable long acquisitions heading into the December Economic Work Conference, leading to speculation that reports and media leaks could surprise to the upside.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 ahead of FOMC policy meeting

AUD/USD attracts some dip-buyers near 0.7000 during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling the previous day's pullback from a one-month high as bets for a November RBA rate hike continue to act as a tailwind for the Aussie. Meanwhile, the US Dollar consolidates gains from the past two days ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting starting later today, further supporting the currency pair.

USD/JPY consolidates above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY trades above mid-157.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday, looking to build on its recovery from an over one-month low as speculation that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes undermines the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar sits near a one-week high, further supporting the currency pair. Bulls, however, seem hesitant ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday.

Gold holds on just above $4,000

Gold clings to daily gains, leaving behind two daily drops in a row and reclaiming the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce and above on Monday. The better tone in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields accompany the precious metal’s uptick, while declining crude oil prices appear to sustain the bounce for now.

Ethereum: BitMine continues buying as ETH slips below $2,355

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) extended its buying streak of the top altcoin last week while expanding its share buybacks. The company said Monday that it acquired 10,452 ETH over the past week, continuing a buying streak that stretches to June 2025.

Everyone's bracing for a hawkish central bank week. Here's why the surprise could be dovish

Five of the world's major central banks are preparing to announce monetary policy decisions this week, with investors increasingly anticipating higher interest rates as the global energy shock continues to push inflation above target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.