NZD/USD turns south during Powell’s testimony

On Thursday, the NZD/USD cleared daily gains, which saw the pair jumping to a daily high of 0.6222 past the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). However. it failed to consolidate above it and retreated to 0.6180. In that sense, hawkish remarks by Jerome Powell during his testimony before the US Senate fueled US bond yields and helped the Greenback gain traction. On the New Zealand side, no relevant reports will be released on Friday.

Investors bet on higher rate hikes by the Fed following Chair Powell’s testimony

In his appearance before the US Senate's Banking, House, and Urban Affairs Committee, Powell reiterated that the central bank has a considerable distance to cover. He provided reassurance that monetary policy remains effective in its efforts to combat inflation. Chair Powell also confirmed that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) generally believes that raising rates once more this year and potentially twice more would be appropriate. As a reaction, the 2-year bond yield jumped to its highest level since March to 4.8% and gave further traction to the USD. 

On the other hand, the US Bureau of Census Analysis revealed 260K Jobless Claims for the week ending June 16, slightly exceeding the expected 262,000. Additionally, the Chicago Fed National Activity index dropped to -0.15 in May vs the consensus of 0, and Existing Home Sales reached 4.3M, surpassing the consensus estimate of 4.25M, indicating resilience in the housing sector.

Attention now turns to the release of the S&P Global PMIs on Friday, where investors will get a clear outlook regarding the US economy’s health.

NZD/USD Levels to watch

According to the daily chart, the NZD/USD holds a neutral outlook for the short term as indicators have turned flat but slightly tilted to the downside. In addition, the 20-,100- and 200-day Simple Moving Averages are converging towards the 0.6150 levels and potential bullish or bearish crosses may determine the short-term trajectory.

On the downside, support levels line up at the 200- and 20-day SMAs at 0.6153 and 0.6118 respectively, followed then by the 0.6100 area. On the upside, the 100-day SMA at 0.6205, the daily high at 0.6222 and the 0.6250 area stand as short-term resistances.