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NZD/USD stuck in daily range above 0.69, eyes on RBNZ

  • RBNZ is expected to keep policy rate steady at 1.75%.
  • Greenback gathers strength despite mixed data from the U.S. 
  • US Dollar Index clings to gains near 96.70.

The NZD/USD pair inched higher in the NA session and moved into the upper half of its daily range. As of writing, the pair was trading at 0.6916, adding 0.12% on a daily basis.

Although the greenback gathered strength in the second half of the day, the kiwi was able to show resilience supported by the improved market sentiment and commodities' upbeat performance. Moreover, investors seem to be opting out to stay on the sidelines ahead of the RBNZ's announcements. 

Previewing this event, "Our economists also expect the RBNZ to repeat the key messages from the February MPS that the OCR will remain unchanged through 2019 and 2020 and that the next (move)could be 'up or down'," UBS analysts said. "We still see upside in NZD as the market remains too dovishly priced relative to the RBNZ's tone and as domestic fundamentals remain resilient.”

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index is clinging to its daily gains near 96.70 despite today's mixed macroeconomic data releases. However, the fact that the 10-year T-bond yield erased its daily recovery gains and turned red on the day in the last hour suggests that the rebound was a technical correction and the greenback is likely to stay vulnerable against its major rivals amid concerns over the yield curve inversion, which could be a sign of an upcoming recession in the U.S.

Key technical levels

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6916
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open0.6908
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6838
Daily SMA500.6826
Daily SMA1000.681
Daily SMA2000.6737
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6919
Previous Daily Low0.6871
Previous Weekly High0.6939
Previous Weekly Low0.6827
Previous Monthly High0.6943
Previous Monthly Low0.6719
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6901
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6889
Daily Pivot Point S10.688
Daily Pivot Point S20.6851
Daily Pivot Point S30.6832
Daily Pivot Point R10.6928
Daily Pivot Point R20.6947
Daily Pivot Point R30.6976

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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