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NZD/USD sticks to gains near multi-week high, just below 0.5900 ahead of US ISM PMI

  • A combination of factors lifts NZD/USD to a six-week high on Tuesday.
  • Bets for a less hawkish Fed and sliding US bond yields weigh on the USD.
  • A positive risk tone provides an additional lift to the risk-sensitive kiwi.

The NZD/USD pair builds on the previous day's bounce from the 0.5775 region and gains strong follow-through traction for the second successive day on Tuesday. This also marks the fifth day of a positive move in the previous six and lifts spot prices to the 0.5900 neighbourhood, or the highest level since September 21.

The US dollar stalls its recent bounce from over a one-week low touched last week and snaps a three-day winning streak, which, in turn, provides a goodish lift to the NZD/USD pair. Speculations that the Fed will soften its hawkish stance amid signs of a slowdown in the US economy led to a further decline in the US Treasury bond yields. This, along with a generally positive tone around the equity markets, is seen undermining the safe-haven buck and benefitting the risk-sensitive kiwi.

The better-than-expected Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI, which improved to 49.2 in October from 48.1 previous, boosted investors' confidence and led to a goodish recovery in the global risk sentiment. Investors, however, remain concerned about the economic headwinds stemming from China's strict zero-COVID policy amid the resurgence of new cases in Shanghai and Wuhan. Apart from this, the protracted Russia-Ukraine war should keep a lid on any further optimistic moves in the markets.

Furthermore, firming expectations that the Fed will hike interest rates by 75 bps at the end of a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday should act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and the greenback. This, in turn, warrants some caution for aggressive bullish traders and positioning for any further appreciating move for the NZD/USD pair. Traders now look to the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for some impetus later during the early North American session.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5878
Today Daily Change0.0064
Today Daily Change %1.10
Today daily open0.5814
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5687
Daily SMA500.5859
Daily SMA1000.6058
Daily SMA2000.6357
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5836
Previous Daily Low0.5774
Previous Weekly High0.5874
Previous Weekly Low0.5657
Previous Monthly High0.5874
Previous Monthly Low0.5512
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.5812
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5798
Daily Pivot Point S10.578
Daily Pivot Point S20.5746
Daily Pivot Point S30.5718
Daily Pivot Point R10.5842
Daily Pivot Point R20.587
Daily Pivot Point R30.5904

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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