NZD/USD: Speculation about a hawkish RBNZ shift to inspirit the kiwi – MUFG


The New Zealand dollar was the fourth best performing G10 currency in April as the NZD/USD pair climbed from 0.6990 to 0.7163 – with the broadening of optimism over the outlook for global growth providing support. Economists at MUFG expect the kiwi to continue enjoying support as hike rate expectations are being brought forward.

Fundamental support for stronger NZD

“We still see the economy rebounding and eventually the pricing of rate hike action being brought forward that will help provide support for NZD.” 

“Rate expectations by end-2022 remain stable but the 2-year yield began to drift higher toward month-end and we see upside risks over the coming months as the global economy picks up further.”

“While there is still scope for patience, we believe it is inevitable that speculation will build in H2 over a shift in policy stance by the RBNZ. The 3mth Bill market implies less than two 0.25 rate increases by the end of 2022 and in the second half of this year that is set to increase providing NZD support.”

 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Feed news

Are you new to trading or have been trading for a while and you feel stuck?

Try with us!
Become Premium!
   

Latest Forex News


Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD rises toward after US retail sales miss estimates

EUR/USD is holding onto its gains above 1.21 after the US reported no change in April's retail sales, below 1% expected. The Control Group plunged by 1.5%. The dollar is falling across the pond. US Consumer Sentiment missed with 82.8, yet inflation expectations surged to 4.6%.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD trades below 1.41 after US consumption data

GBP/USD is trading above 1.4050, benefitting from the better market mood. Sterling is shrugging off worries about the spread of new virus variants, which may delay the reopening. US retail sales missed estimates, causing jitters. 

GBP/USD News

XAU/USD rallies back closer to multi-month tops, around $1,840 region

Gold could be on the verge of a lower low, but the hourly time frame is key. The hourly support structure is guarding a break to test bullish commitments at 1,800. The 10-day EMA and confluence of the 50% mean reversion are also offering support. 

Gold News

Dogecoin bulls hold the key for 40% gains

Dogecoin price is at a pivotal point, resulting in a 40% upswing or 30% sell-off. A swift surge beyond $0.522 and a retest of this level confirms a bullish outlook. If DOGE slices through the $0.351, it will put an end to the optimistic narrative.

Read more

AMC Entertainment Holdings surges on triangle breakout, targets $14.54 and $20

AMC has done it again and in the process is stealing the GameStop crown. Supposedly a movie about the whole GameStop saga is in the works, but if AMC has its way it will be stealing the show. Coming to an AMC theatre near you: "AMC to the moon". AMC closed Thursday at $12.77 for a nice gain of 23.7%, thank you very much.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures