|

NZD/USD skids below 0.6620 on progressive rate hike expectations by the Fed

  • NZD/USD tumbles below 0.6620 on souring market mood.
  • Lower-than-expected inflation in NZ has brought an intense sell-off in the asset.
  • The DXY has printed a fresh high at 100.33 on rising odds of Fed’s rate hike.

The NZD/USD pair has slipped below last week’s low at 0.6626 after carry-forwarding the weakness observed on Friday. The asset has recorded a sheer downside from the last two trading sessions after failing to sustain above the round level resistance of 0.6780 on multiple attempts. Risk-off market mood has dampened the demand for the risk-perceived assets, and considering the price action, a downward trending move is likely to drag the asset to near yearly lows at 0.6529.

The kiwi has been underperforming against the greenback since the release of the NZ Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday. The yearly NZ CPI landed at 6.9% against the expectation of 7.1% and the previous print of 5.9%. Lower-than-expected inflation print pressured the kiwi but not lowered the odds of more rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr mentioned in his last monetary policy statement that inflation is soaring high and interest rate elevation is the only measure to reduce inflation risks. Therefore, RBNZ policymakers will stick to its hawkish guidance and bring inflation below the targeted rate of 2% sooner.

Meanwhile, higher odds of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) are pushing the US dollar index (DXY) toward the north. The DXY is comfortably auctioning above 101.00 and is expected to advance gains as investors are expecting higher Durable Goods Order this week. The monthly Durable Goods Orders are likely to land at 1% against the prior print of -2.1%. Also, investors will shed themselves behind the greenback to combat uncertainty ahead of the Fed’s monetary policy announcement in May.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6619
Today Daily Change-0.0031
Today Daily Change %-0.47
Today daily open0.665
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6849
Daily SMA500.682
Daily SMA1000.6782
Daily SMA2000.6897
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6762
Previous Daily Low0.6625
Previous Weekly High0.6814
Previous Weekly Low0.6625
Previous Monthly High0.6999
Previous Monthly Low0.6728
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6677
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.671
Daily Pivot Point S10.6596
Daily Pivot Point S20.6542
Daily Pivot Point S30.6459
Daily Pivot Point R10.6733
Daily Pivot Point R20.6816
Daily Pivot Point R30.687

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.