NZD/USD rises to highs since March, market await drivers

NZD/USD buyers advanced and pushed the pair to levels last seen in March at around 0.6148.
May’s ANZ business survey will be Tuesday’s highlight on the NZ side.
Across the Pacific, markets await GDP, PCE, and Fed Beige book to gather additional data on the US economic health.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

The NZD/USD pair traded higher on Monday while US traders remained on the sidelines, resting on Memorial Day.

In the US scope, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming Beige Book Report could set the tone for the NZD/USD pair on Wednesday. In addition, the core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) reading for April, will be highly looked upon on Friday and is expected to remain steady at 2.8% YoY. The Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) revision will be released on Thursday which might also shake markets.

In addition, Fed speakers, who are scheduled throughout the week, may bring nuanced insight into the current Federal stance ahead of the media blackout period. Current market odds indicate around 50% odds of a cut in September and an 80% chance of a November rate cut. Those odds remain low for June and July

As for New Zealand, investors are banking on the May ANZ business survey due this Tuesday to shed light on areas of concern like domestic inflation and business activity.

NZD/USD technical analysis

In the daily analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a positive trend with the recent RSI readings hovering around the 60 to 70 territory, indicating substantial buying pressure. The slope has risen compared to previous sessions, suggesting an increase in bullish momentum. This positive tendency in the RSI coincides with rising green bars on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), which points to a continued upward trend.

NZD/USD daily chart

In addition, the NZD/USD pair is in a strong upward trend, trading above its 20, 100, and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). This suggests that buyers flipped the tables and secured a bullish outlook for the long and short term.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6151
Today Daily Change	0.0033
Today Daily Change %	0.54
Today daily open	0.6118

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6039
Daily SMA50	0.6003
Daily SMA100	0.607
Daily SMA200	0.6043

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6127
Previous Daily Low	0.6087
Previous Weekly High	0.6153
Previous Weekly Low	0.6083
Previous Monthly High	0.6079
Previous Monthly Low	0.5851
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6112
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6102
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6094
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6071
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6054
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6134
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6151
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6174

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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