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NZD/USD rebounds, eyes 0.5800 with bullish reversal signal in focus

  • NZD/USD rebounds from 0.5737, forming a bullish reversal signal as traders target 0.5800.
  • A decisive break could expose convergence of 20- and 200-day SMAs near 0.5847/49, opening room for further upside.
  • Failure to hold above 0.5800 risks renewed pressure toward 0.5737, 0.5700, and the April low at 0.5485.

The New Zealand Dollar trimmed some of its losses on Wednesday still finished the session with losses of over 0.20% after reaching a six-month low of 0.5737. Nevertheless, as it recovered and closed above 0.5750, the NZD/USD formed a ‘hammer,’ indicating that bulls outweighed bears. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.5786 virtually unchanged as Thursday’s Asian session begins.

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The technical picture shows the NZD/USD has bottomed after diving to multi-month lows. However, a sustained break above 0.5800 would increase bulls’ chances of testing higher prices, like the convergence of the 20 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) around 0.5847/49. If cleared, the next stop would be the 50-day SMA at 0.5881, before reaching the 100-day SMA At 0.5944.

Conversely, if NZD/USD stays below 0.5800m the first support would be 0.5737, followed by 0.5700, before challenging the yearly low of 0.5485 hit on April 9.

NZD/USD Chart – Daily

NZD/USD daily chart

New Zealand Dollar Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies this week. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.77%0.33%2.09%-0.02%-0.03%0.56%0.66%
EUR-0.77%-0.54%1.24%-0.82%-0.83%-0.24%-0.15%
GBP-0.33%0.54%1.88%-0.28%-0.29%0.30%0.40%
JPY-2.09%-1.24%-1.88%-2.02%-2.13%-1.57%-1.45%
CAD0.02%0.82%0.28%2.02%0.04%0.58%0.68%
AUD0.03%0.83%0.29%2.13%-0.04%0.60%0.69%
NZD-0.56%0.24%-0.30%1.57%-0.58%-0.60%0.09%
CHF-0.66%0.15%-0.40%1.45%-0.68%-0.69%-0.09%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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