NZD/USD Price Forecast: Seems vulnerable while below 200-hour SMA hurdle near 0.5670

NZD/USD attracts some sellers on Wednesday amid a goodish pickup in the USD demand.
The overnight failure near the 200-hour SMA backs the case for further near-term losses.
A sustained strength beyond the 0.5670 hurdle is needed to negate the negative outlook.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The NZD/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and now seems to have snapped a two-day winning streak, to the 0.5670 region, or a nearly one-week top touched the previous day. Spot prices slide below mid-0.5600s in the last hour and seem vulnerable amid the emergence of some US Dollar (USD) dip-buying.

From a technical perspective, the NZD/USD pair faced rejection near the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) on Tuesday, and the subsequent slide backs the case for deeper losses. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart are holding deep in bearish territory and have just started gaining negative traction on hourly charts. This, in turn, validates the outlook and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside.

Hence, some follow-through weakness towards the 0.5625 intermediate support en route to the 0.5600 neighborhood, or the lowest level since April, touched last Friday, looks like a distinct possibility. Acceptance below the latter would mark a fresh breakdown and make the NZD/USD pair vulnerable to accelerate the downfall towards mid-0.5500s before eventually dropping to the April low – levels just below the 0.5500 psychological mark.

On the flip side, the 0.5665-0.5670 area (200-hour SMA) might continue to act as an immediate strong barrier, above which a bout of a short-covering move could allow the NZD/USD pair to reclaim the 0.5700 round figure. Some follow-through buying should pave the way for additional gains towards the 0.5750-0.5755 intermediate resistance en route to the 0.5800 round-figure mark, or the late October swing high.

NZD/USD 1-hour chart

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

	USD	EUR	GBP	JPY	CAD	AUD	NZD	CHF
USD		0.07%	0.21%	0.39%	0.04%	0.11%	0.13%	0.03%
EUR	-0.07%		0.14%	0.32%	-0.02%	0.06%	0.06%	-0.03%
GBP	-0.21%	-0.14%		0.18%	-0.16%	-0.09%	-0.08%	-0.18%
JPY	-0.39%	-0.32%	-0.18%		-0.34%	-0.27%	-0.26%	-0.36%
CAD	-0.04%	0.02%	0.16%	0.34%		0.07%	0.08%	-0.02%
AUD	-0.11%	-0.06%	0.09%	0.27%	-0.07%		0.02%	-0.08%
NZD	-0.13%	-0.06%	0.08%	0.26%	-0.08%	-0.02%		-0.10%
CHF	-0.03%	0.03%	0.18%	0.36%	0.02%	0.08%	0.10%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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