|

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Rises ahead of Fed as USD softens

  • NZD/USD up 0.23% to 0.5783 as Greenback weakens.
  • Pair remains capped below 0.5800 resistance; break above targets the 50- and 200-day SMA, each at 0.5830 and 0.5858.
  • On downside, supports lie at 20-day SMA at 0.5760, 0.5682 and yearly low at 0.5485.

The Kiwi Dollar edges up 0.23% on Tuesday as the Greenback weakens ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, at which the central bank is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points. The NZD/USD trades at 0.5783 at the time of writing.

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The NZD/USD technical picture suggests that downtrend might continue, but the Fed’s decision could trigger a shift in the trend. Capped on the upside, buyers would face key resistance at 0.5800 before testing the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.5830, followed by the 200-day SMA at 0.5858.

If those two levels are surpassed, the NZD/USD bias would shift to neutral-upwardly with traders eyeing a challenge to the 100-day SMA at 0.5907.

For a bearish continuation, the NZD/USD first support would be the 20-day SMA at 0.5760, before testing the October 23 low of 0.5724. A decisive break and 0.57 is up next. On further weakness, the next support would be October’s low of 0.5682, before plunging towards the yearly low of 0.5485.

NZD/USD Price Chart – Daily

NZD/USD daily chart

New Zealand Dollar Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies this week. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.13%0.39%-0.52%-0.45%-0.62%-0.02%-0.38%
EUR0.13%0.53%-0.32%-0.32%-0.43%0.09%-0.25%
GBP-0.39%-0.53%-0.95%-0.85%-0.94%-0.44%-0.82%
JPY0.52%0.32%0.95%-0.01%-0.19%0.37%0.05%
CAD0.45%0.32%0.85%0.00%-0.23%0.41%0.03%
AUD0.62%0.43%0.94%0.19%0.23%0.51%0.13%
NZD0.02%-0.09%0.44%-0.37%-0.41%-0.51%-0.38%
CHF0.38%0.25%0.82%-0.05%-0.03%-0.13%0.38%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls hard to test 0.7100 amid risk aversion

AUD/USD is under intense selling pressure in Friday's Asian trading, attacking the 0.7100 level. Broad risk-aversion amid US-Iran uncertainty, combined with weak Australian GDP data, weighs heavily on the higher-yielding Australian Dollar. All eyes now remain on the US NFP report for fresh impetus.

USD/JPY coiling up around 160.00 amid 'Yentervention' threats

USD/JPY sits glued near 160.00 in Asia on Friday, as the Japanese Yen remains supported by persistent 'Yentervention' threats by Japan's officials. However, the pair's downside remains capped by the Mideast tensions-led risk-off mood and the US Dollar's bullish consolidation.

Gold drops back toward $4,400 on US-Iran standoff, US NFP eyed

Gold price returns to the red and approaches $4,400 in the Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 


DeFi hack losses drop 80% from 2022 peak as security defenses improve — Immunefi

Losses from decentralized finance exploits have fallen by 80% since reaching a record high in 2022, according to a report released by Immunefi. The report, which analyzed exploit-driven losses across major blockchain ecosystems between 2020 and 2025, found that DeFi protocol losses declined from $2.62 billion in 2022 to $534 million in 2024.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.