NZD/USD Price Analysis: Shifts below 0.6200 as negative sentiment improves US Dollar’s appeal

NZD/USD has shifted its auction comfortably below 0.6200 amid negative market sentiment.
Consideration of a pause in the rate-hiking spell by other global central banks has provided the Fed a level-field playing.
NZD/USD has registered a vertical decline and has slipped heavily below the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 0.6216.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The NZD/USD pair is showing back-and-forth action below the round-level resistance of 0.6200 in the early Tokyo session. Earlier, the Kiwi asset showed a perpendicular downside move as inventors run for the US Dollar Index (DXY) due to growing uncertainty.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking for further gains above 102.73 as other global central banks are also considering a halt in the policy-tightening process to avoid further calamity, which is providing a level field to the safe-haven.

Going forward investors will remain focused on the development of United States debt-ceiling talks, which are expected on Tuesday. Further delay in raising the US borrowing cap will fuel the risk of default in obligated payments by the US Treasury.

NZD/USD has registered a vertical decline and has slipped heavily below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (placed from April 26 low at 0.6117 to May 11 high at 0.6385) at 0.6216 on an hourly scale. The 10-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6200 is acting as a barricade for the New Zealand Dollar bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, signaling further weakness ahead.

Going forward, a breakdown of May 12 low at 0.6182 will further drag the asset toward May’s low at 0.6160 followed by April 26 low at 0.6117.

In an alternate scenario, a recovery move above 61% Fibo retracement at 0.6216 would strengthen the New Zealand Dollar. An occurrence of the same will allow the Kiwi asset to move higher towards 50% and 38.2% Fibo retracements at 0.6248 and 0.6280 respectively.

NZD/USD hourly chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6193
Today Daily Change	-0.0002
Today Daily Change %	-0.03
Today daily open	0.6195

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6217
Daily SMA50	0.622
Daily SMA100	0.6279
Daily SMA200	0.6161

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6311
Previous Daily Low	0.6182
Previous Weekly High	0.6385
Previous Weekly Low	0.6182
Previous Monthly High	0.6389
Previous Monthly Low	0.6111
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6231
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6262
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6148
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.61
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6018
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6277
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6358
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6406

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

AUD/USD rises to 0.6950 as USD slips on Fed's Warsh

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the bounce toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. Fed Chair Warsh's comments reinforce the selling pressure on the US Dollar, allowing the pair to stretch higher. Warsh said that he remains committed to delivering price stability without giving away anything on future interest rate path.

USD/JPY falls in symc with USD, gives up 158.00 after Warsh's speech

USD/JPY has come under fresh selling pressure and gives up 158.00 in the Asian session on Friday amid the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling. Fed Chair Warsh's non-committal commentary on the future tightening path, weighs on the US Dollar and the pair.

Gold looks vacillating above $4,150

Gold alternates gains with losses below the key $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The yellow metal’s irresolute price action comes in response to a modest pullback in the US Dollar and a tepid recovery in US Treasury yields across the board.

Bitcoin steadies at $82,000: The five forces crushing the Uptober rally

Crypto markets have remained under pressure so far in October, with Bitcoin (BTC) sliding below $80,000 earlier this week before recovering to around $82,000 on Friday, as macroeconomic headwinds and cooling demand weigh on the market.

The Fed just got a second hot inflation number. Here's what the diesel signal is really saying

The Federal Reserve (Fed) faces a renewed inflation challenge after two consecutive reports showed price pressure intensifying across the US economy. September's Consumer Price Index (CPI) confirmed accelerating consumer inflation, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) revealed an even sharper rise in business costs. Behind both reports lies a common factor: energy prices.

Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff

Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.