|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: mild rebound overshadowed by negative signals

  • NZD/USD inches higher to 0.5560 on Monday, briefly lifting from its lowest levels since October 2022.
  • RSI stands at 31 and is mildly declining, hinting that oversold conditions persist.

The NZD/USD pair attempted a minor rebound on Monday, climbing to around 0.5560 and offering a temporary respite from its recent sharp decline. Despite this uptick, the pair remains hovering near multi-year lows, reflecting the broader downbeat sentiment that has dominated trading for several sessions.

Technically, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is poised at 31 and shows signs of further deterioration, indicating that bearish forces still hold the upper hand. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is losing momentum in the green zone, reinforcing the notion that buyers may lack the strength for a sustainable turnaround.

Looking ahead, a failure to extend beyond 0.5600 could see sellers regain traction, potentially driving the pair toward the 0.5530 support region. On the flip side, reclaiming and consolidating above 0.5600 might provide a glimmer of hope for bulls, setting sights on 0.5650 as the next resistance hurdle to overcome.

NZD/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak above 1.1750 ahead of German/ EU PMI data

EUR/USD remains on the back foot above 1.1850 in the European session on Friday, well within striking distance of a nearly one-month low set the previous day. Unabated US Dollar demand and nervousness ahead of the German and Eurozone business PMI data keep the pair undermined. 

GBP/USD recovers above 1.3450 after strong UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD is recovering ground above 1.3450 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after a bigger-than-expected increase in the UK Retail Sales for January. However, the further upside appears limited in the pair amid persistent US Dollar strength and ahead of key UK and US data. 

Gold rises for third day on geopolitical risks, US data eyed

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. The upside potential, however, seems limited amid the mixed fundamental backdrop. Moreover, traders might opt to wait for the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – before placing fresh directional bets.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain range-bound as breakdown risks rise

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are trading sideways within consolidation ranges on Friday, signaling a lack of directional bias in the broader crypto market. BTC rebounded from key support, and ETH is nearing the lower consolidation boundary, while XRP is holding at its lower trendline boundary. 

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.