|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Forms bearish candlestick at top of range

  • NZD/USD has formed a bearish reversal candlestick at its range highs and declined. 
  • This suggests the possibility it could be about to move down towards the range lows. 
  • The pair may be entering a sideways trend with odds favoring an extension of the range. 

NZD/USD may be entering a sideways trend after touching the top of a multi-week range and rolling over. If it is in a sideways trend and given “the trend is your friend” it is more likely than not to continue oscillating within the confines of the range. 

NZD/USD surged to a high of 0.6248 on August 20 before falling back down just as rapidly. The swift change in price led to the formation of a bearish Gravestone Doji Japanese candlestick formation (circled) which was followed by a red candlestick in the subsequent period providing added bearish confirmation. Such a pattern signals a short-term reversal. 

NZD/USD 4-hour Chart 


 

Forming as it did at the top of the range, the Gravestone Doji suggests a move back down towards the range lows of around 0.5852 is on the horizon. A close below 0.6130 would provide added confirmation of more downside. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line has nearly crossed below the red signal line. If it does – which looks likely – it will provide further bearish confirmation. 

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to modest gains above 1.1700

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gains traction on Monday and edges higher toward 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3450 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and trades in positive territory well above 1.3400. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold notches record-high above $4,400 as geopolitical tensions escalate

Gold trades at a fresh all-time-high above $4,400 Monday, rising more than 1.5% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.