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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Follow-up bounce as bulls defend weekly lows at 0.6150

  • Investors should brace for a volatility contraction on Falling Wedge formation.
  • The kiwi bulls have defended the weekly lows at 0.6146 for the second time.
  • The antipodean is struggling to surpass the 20-period EMA at 0.6253.

The NZD/USD pair is oscillating in a narrow range of 0.6139-0.6158 in the Asian session. The kiwi bulls have defended the weekly lows at 0.6146 for the second time on Wednesday. Broadly, the asset has turned sideways and may display a volatility expansion on the availability of a potential trigger.

On an hourly scale, the formation of the Falling Wedge is indicating a lackluster performance by the major going forward. The upper portion of the chart pattern is placed from June 16 high at 0.6396 while the lower portion is plotted from June 14 low at 0.6196. Usually, the above-mentioned chart pattern leads to a bullish reversal after the upside break of the upper portion of the former.

The downward-sloping trendline placed from Monday’s high at 0.6253 will act as a major hurdle for the counter.

The antipodean is struggling to surpass the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6156, which signals that the short-term trend is still not lucrative for the kiwi bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is focusing surviving the attacks and holding the 40.00 mark to keep bulls alive.

A decisive move above Wednesday’s high at 0.6176 will drive the asset towards the round-level resistance at 0.6200, followed by June 22 low at 0.6244.

On the flip side, the greenback bulls could regain control if the major drop below Tuesday’s low at 0.6124. An occurrence of the same will drag the asset towards 25 May 2020 low at 0.6084. A violation of 0.6084 will expose the asset to more downside potential towards the psychological support of 0.6000.

NZD/USD hourly chart    

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.615
Today Daily Change-0.0025
Today Daily Change %-0.40
Today daily open0.6175
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.629
Daily SMA500.6376
Daily SMA1000.6598
Daily SMA2000.6736
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6227
Previous Daily Low0.6124
Previous Weekly High0.6327
Previous Weekly Low0.6148
Previous Monthly High0.6576
Previous Monthly Low0.6197
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6163
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6188
Daily Pivot Point S10.6123
Daily Pivot Point S20.6072
Daily Pivot Point S30.602
Daily Pivot Point R10.6226
Daily Pivot Point R20.6278
Daily Pivot Point R30.6329

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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