|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Edges lower past 0.6200 within monthly triangle

  • NZD/USD consolidates the previous day’s recovery inside one-month-old symmetrical triangle.
  • Impending bull cross on MACD, sustained trading beyond 100-EMA keeps Kiwi buyers hopeful.
  • Bears need to conquer 0.6200 to retake control, bulls can aim for 0.6310 on breakout.

NZD/USD clings to mild losses around 0.6190 as it reverses the previous day’s rebound heading into Thursday’s European session. In doing so, the Kiwi pair retreats within a one-month-old symmetrical triangle, funning down towards the breakout points of late.

That said, the early Thursday’s Gravestone Doji candlestick on the four-hour chart joins the downbeat sentiment to exert downside pressure on the NZD/USD price.

Suggesting another attempt to break the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) surrounding 0.6155.

Following that, the stated triangle’s bottom line of near 0.6150 and a one-month-long horizontal support zone surrounding 0.6100 will lure the NZD/USD bears.

Meanwhile, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its May 11-31 downside, near 0.6230, guards the immediate upside of the NZD/USD pair, a break of which will highlight the aforementioned triangle’s top line, close to 0.6240 at the latest.

In a case where the Kiwi pair manages to remain firmer past 0.6240, the late May swing high of around 0.6310 can act as an extra filter towards the north before giving control to the bulls.

 To sum up, NZD/USD pair is suggesting an intraday fall but the overall bullish bias remains intact.

NZD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6189
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.21%
Today daily open0.6202
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6114
Daily SMA500.6177
Daily SMA1000.621
Daily SMA2000.6154
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6219
Previous Daily Low0.6156
Previous Weekly High0.625
Previous Weekly Low0.6076
Previous Monthly High0.6385
Previous Monthly Low0.5985
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6195
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.618
Daily Pivot Point S10.6166
Daily Pivot Point S20.6129
Daily Pivot Point S30.6103
Daily Pivot Point R10.6229
Daily Pivot Point R20.6255
Daily Pivot Point R30.6292

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).