NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bullish momentum picks up, buyers rejected at the 100-day SMA

The daily indicators hint at a strengthening bullish momentum.
Hourly indicators are consolidating after hitting overbought conditions earlier in the session.
If the buyers regain the 100-day SMA, the bearish trend will be threatened.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

At the end of the week, the NZD/USD rallied to around 0.6050, up by 0.80%. Bullish momentum is picking up but the overall trend is still tilted in favor of the sellers. Further bullish validation is needed after the pair's unsuccessful attempt to cross a crucial 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) during Friday's session.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a shift towards a stronger bullish trend. The last session recorded an RSI of 56, settling in positive territory. This solidifies a consistent increase in momentum in favor of buyers after being below 50 since early April.

NZD/USD daily chart

Examining the hourly chart, a similar viewpoint is observed. The RSI measures 62, but somewhat flattened after jumping above 70 earlier in the session. In addition, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram exhibited consistent red bars, signaling a potential deceleration in the bullish momentum.

NZD/USD hourly chart

Regarding the overall market trend, the NZD/USD is trading below the 100, and 200-day SMA which confirms the presence of significant downside pressure on the pair and challenges short-term buyers. Notably, the pair encountered rejection around the 100-day SMA at the 0.6100 level during Friday’s session, suggesting the buyers still need more traction to turn the outlook bullish. However, the break above the 20-day SMA definitely brightened the outlook for the short term.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6011
Today Daily Change	0.0050
Today Daily Change %	0.84
Today daily open	0.5961

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.5949
Daily SMA50	0.6026
Daily SMA100	0.6104
Daily SMA200	0.6042

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.5969
Previous Daily Low	0.5913
Previous Weekly High	0.597
Previous Weekly Low	0.5886
Previous Monthly High	0.6079
Previous Monthly Low	0.5851
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.5947
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.5934
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.5926
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.5891
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.587
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.5982
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6004
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6039

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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