|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: brief pullback questions 20-day SMA support

  • NZD/USD fell at the end of the weekresting around 0.5590 after struggling to sustain previous gains.
  • RSI plunges to 40 in negative territory, pointing to weakening momentum as sellers regain confidence.
  • MACD histogram shows rising green bars, hinting that not all bullish interest has faded despite the drop.

The NZD/USD pair lost ground on Friday, sliding 0.30% to settle near 0.5590. This downturn casts doubt on the sustainability of the pair’s recent consolidation above its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), a region that might still offer a line of defense for buyers hoping to maintain upward traction. With sellers beginning to chip away at gains seen earlier in the week, it remains uncertain whether the pair can cling to its fragile support zone.

From a technical perspective, momentum readings are mixed. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has retreated sharply to 40, underscoring a renewed bout of bearish pressure. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram continues to produce green bars, suggesting that some underlying bullish sentiment persists but in a less confident manner. These conflicting signals underscore the delicate nature of the current price action.

Should NZD/USD consolidate effectively near the 20-day SMA, now around the 0.5600 mark, buyers may attempt another push higher, with 0.5630 serving as an interim hurdle before a potential run at 0.5650. Conversely, a decisive breach below 0.5580 would likely hand control back to the bears, exposing lower targets near the 0.5550 region and undermining the pair’s nascent support base.

NZD/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.