|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bears move in from key highs for the week

  • NZDUSD bears move back in following a test of key highs.
  • US Dollar is pressured as US yields stall in a risk-on setting. 

NZDUSD is plotting highs for the week in Asia, extending on the start of the week's rally in a risk-on environment. The high beta currencies have been finding demand due to signs of some easing of market conditions following last week's mixed Nonfarm Payrolls report that shows that the Unemployment Rate rose to 3.7%.

A Federal Reserve pivot could be on the cards that would give relief to global stock markets and currencies, such as the Kiwi, that tend to track the performance of equities. Consequently, US yields are weak at the start of the week as the following technical analysis will show and NZDUSD is gathering pace on the bid into last weeks and the overnight highs:

NZD/USD H1 chart

However, if the bears are able to commit at this juncture, then there would be a case for a move below the key trendline and prospects for a test of key structures, as illustrated in the chart above. 

US 2-year yield

Meanwhile, US yields are at a crossroads and should they give out below the micro trendline, there is a risk that a significant move lower below the key daily structures would derail the US dollar, lending huge support to stocks and currencies such s the Kiwi.  

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains on the back foot below 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400, awaits BoE and US CPI

GBP/USD oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3400 in European trading on Thursday. The pair trades with caution as markets eagerly await the BoE policy verdict and US consumer inflation data for fresh directional impetus. 

Gold holds losses below $4,350 ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher and holds its pullback below $4,350 in the European session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar bounce. All eyes now remain on the US CPI inflation data. 

BoE set to resume easing cycle, trimming interest rate to 3.75%

The Bank of England will announce its last monetary policy decision of 2025 on Thursday at 12:00 GMT. The market prices a 25-basis-point rate cut, which would leave the BoE’s Bank Rate at 3.75%.

US CPI data expected to show inflation rose slightly to 3.1%, cooling Fed rate cut bets for January

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November on Thursday at 13:30 GMT. The CPI inflation in the US is expected to rise at an annual rate of 3.1% in November

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.