|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bears move in from key highs for the week

  • NZDUSD bears move back in following a test of key highs.
  • US Dollar is pressured as US yields stall in a risk-on setting. 

NZDUSD is plotting highs for the week in Asia, extending on the start of the week's rally in a risk-on environment. The high beta currencies have been finding demand due to signs of some easing of market conditions following last week's mixed Nonfarm Payrolls report that shows that the Unemployment Rate rose to 3.7%.

A Federal Reserve pivot could be on the cards that would give relief to global stock markets and currencies, such as the Kiwi, that tend to track the performance of equities. Consequently, US yields are weak at the start of the week as the following technical analysis will show and NZDUSD is gathering pace on the bid into last weeks and the overnight highs:

NZD/USD H1 chart

However, if the bears are able to commit at this juncture, then there would be a case for a move below the key trendline and prospects for a test of key structures, as illustrated in the chart above. 

US 2-year yield

Meanwhile, US yields are at a crossroads and should they give out below the micro trendline, there is a risk that a significant move lower below the key daily structures would derail the US dollar, lending huge support to stocks and currencies such s the Kiwi.  

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.