NZD/USD Price Analysis: All eyes on 41-month-old resistance above 0.7400


  • NZD/USD defies pullback from August 2017 top following its bounce off 0.7420.
  • Weekly closing becomes the key for Kiwi bulls, ascending trend line from March 2020 offers key support.

NZD/USD trims intraday losses while picking up bids to 0.7438, down 0.15% on a day, while heading into the European session on Thursday.

The quote jumped to the highest since August 2017 earlier in Asia but failures to stay beyond a horizontal area comprising multiple tops marked since September 2018 triggered the following pullback to the day’s low of 0.7420. It’s worth mentioning that the overbought RSI conditions also question the kiwi pair’s further upside.

Hence, unless witnessing a weekly closing beyond the 0.7435-46 area, the NZD/USD bulls are likely to remain skeptical. Following that, the 0.7500 and July 2017 peak of 0.7560 should return to the chart.

Meanwhile, pullback moves may target January’s top near 0.7315 and may become less harmful to the uptrend beyond 0.7080 level comprising an 11-month-old support line.

However, a weekly closing below 0.7080 might not refrain from marking a gradual downward trajectory towards the 200-bar SMA level of 0.6775.

NZD/USD weekly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.7439
Today Daily Change -11 pips
Today Daily Change % -0.15%
Today daily open 0.745
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7232
Daily SMA50 0.7185
Daily SMA100 0.7012
Daily SMA200 0.6781
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7455
Previous Daily Low 0.7315
Previous Weekly High 0.7316
Previous Weekly Low 0.7158
Previous Monthly High 0.7316
Previous Monthly Low 0.7096
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7401
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7368
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7358
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7266
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7218
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7499
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7547
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7639

 

 

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