NZD/USD nears fresh four-month top amid global dairy optimism, fading trade war fears


  • NZD/USD seesaws around fresh four-month high as USD weakness joins upbeat catalyst at home.
  • US President Donald Trump took a U-turn on trade talks with China, Fonterra cited global dairy optimism.
  • RBNZ’s capital decision, trade headlines and the US data will be in the spotlight.

NZD/USD takes rounds to 0.6530 at the start of Thursday’s Asian session. That said, the kiwi pair surged the fresh high of 0.6541 during the later part of Wednesday.

While optimism surrounding the New Zealand economy, a contrast to the United States (US), has recently pleased the buyers, the previous day’s four-month low ADP Employment Change and downbeat service activity numbers from the US added strength to the pair’s rise. Also supporting the Bulls is the news that Global Dairy giant Fonterra raised its farm-gate milk price while saying that the global dairy market is in favor of demand.

Providing an additional boost to the run-up was the US President Donald Trump’s U-turn on trade talk proceedings with China. The Republican leader recently surprised markets while saying that the trade talks with China are now going “very well”. Markets attribute this sudden change to China’s threat of taking harsh measures if the US enacts a bill on how China treats its Uighur Muslim community.

Moving on, a lack of data at home could restrict the pair’s momentum ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) capital decision, at 12:00 PM in New Zealand. The central bank is up for conveying capital ratio requirements while proposing Tier 1 capital ratios to 16% of risk-weighted assets, against Governor Adrian Orr’s favor for no change, as per the Reuters.  While the immediate impact on the New Zealand dollar (NZD) could be minimal considering no change expectations, a surprise hike will not only provide negative impact to the domestic currency but will also hurt the Australian banks at home and indirectly damage the Australian fundamentals.

On the other hand, weekly Jobless Claims, Trade Balance and Factory Orders from the US will decorate the economic calendar together with comments from the Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Randal Quarles.

Technical Analysis

200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 0.6545 still stays unhurt and could act as the key resistance holding the gate for August highs surrounding 0.6590. Meanwhile, a downside break of 0.6500, including top marked on August 09, could trigger fresh pullback towards November month top close to 0.6465.

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.653
Today Daily Change 12 pips
Today Daily Change % 0.18%
Today daily open 0.6518
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6406
Daily SMA50 0.6364
Daily SMA100 0.6413
Daily SMA200 0.6545
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6534
Previous Daily Low 0.6493
Previous Weekly High 0.6439
Previous Weekly Low 0.6394
Previous Monthly High 0.6466
Previous Monthly Low 0.6321
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6518
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6509
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6496
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6474
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6455
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6537
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6556
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6578

 

 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

GBP/USD stays below 1.3350 on poor UK PMIs

GBP/USD hits fresh session lows of 1.3335 following an unexpected drop in the UK's Preliminary Manufacturing and Service PMI reports. However, the downside appears capped amid growing Brexit optimism. 

GBP/USD News

EUR/USD keeps range around 1.1130 on downbeat PMIs

EUR/USD trims gains to trade near 1.1130 region after the sentiment around the euro was dented by the disappointing German and Eurozone Preliminary Manufacturing PMIs. Trade concerns also keep the gains limited. 

EUR/USD News

The phantom of fear pierces crypto market foundations

Negative technical indicators are extremely volatile and are approaching a technical rebound. Ethereum has fundamentals in play versus Bitcoin which could be lethal. XRP is not immune to downfalls and adds to the dangerous game of critical supports.

Read more

Gold consolidates in a range, flat-lined around $1475 level

Gold extended its sideways consolidative price action through the early European session on Monday and remained confined in a narrow trading band near the $1475 region.

Gold News

USD/JPY clings to modest gains, just below mid-109.00s

The USD/JPY pair edged higher on the first day of a new trading week, albeit lacked any strong follow-through and remained well within the previous session's trading range.

USD/JPY News

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures