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NZD/USD moves below 0.5900 on negative global economic outlook

  • NZD/USD weakens as RBNZ’s inflation report suggests an economic slowdown.
  • Kiwi's Business Services Index fell from the previous reading of 50.7 to 48.9.
  • Downbeat Chinese inflation could impact the Kiwi Dollar.
  • US-China Presidential meeting is scheduled for Wednesday during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in San Francisco.

NZD/USD is caught in a losing streak, stretching for the sixth consecutive session. The pessimistic global economic outlook casts a shadow over the NZD/USD pair. The spot price trades lower around 0.5890 during the Asian hours on Monday.

The inflation report by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) contributed to the weakening of the NZD/USD pair as New Zealand is a significant exporter of commodities. The report suggests a prevailing sentiment pointing toward an expected decrease in prices, possibly linked to an economic slowdown and diminished demand for goods and services. It seems like the anticipation is setting the stage for a shift in the economic landscape.

The Kiwi's Business NZ PSI for October paints a picture of the Services Index, which took a dip, falling from the previous reading of 50.7 to 48.9. This data might add to the strain on the Kiwi Dollar (NZD), suggesting it's facing additional challenges.

Chinese inflation recorded a yearly decline in October might dampen the outlook for global growth. This directly impacts the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), given its role as a major commodity exporter to China.

Market participants await the upcoming US-China Presidential meeting. Scheduled for Wednesday during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in San Francisco, this marks the first in-person meeting between President Biden and President Xi in a year. The agenda is extensive, covering global issues from the Israel-Hamas conflict to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, fentanyl production, and discussions around artificial intelligence.

US Dollar Index (DXY) moves sideways without a direction despite improved US Treasury yields, bidding around 105.80. The yield on a 10-year US bond coupon stands at 4.66%, up by 0.17% by the press time.

The recent hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell couldn't lift the spirits of the Greenback. Powell voiced concerns that the current policies might not be robust enough to bring inflation down to the coveted 2.0% target.

US Dollar (USD) encounters a challenge following the release of preliminary US Michigan Consumer Sentiment data on Friday. The report indicates a decline in consumer mood, dropping from 63.8 in the previous month to 60.4 in November.

Traders are expected to focus on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) scheduled to be released on Tuesday. Kiwi’s side is the Producer Price Index – Output to be released later in the week. Meanwhile, China’s Industrial Production and Retail Sales will be eyed on Wednesday.

NZD/USD: additional levels to watch

Overview
Today last price0.5892
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open0.589
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5875
Daily SMA500.5912
Daily SMA1000.6007
Daily SMA2000.6106
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5938
Previous Daily Low0.5877
Previous Weekly High0.6002
Previous Weekly Low0.5877
Previous Monthly High0.6056
Previous Monthly Low0.5772
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5915
Daily Pivot Point S10.5865
Daily Pivot Point S20.5841
Daily Pivot Point S30.5805
Daily Pivot Point R10.5926
Daily Pivot Point R20.5962
Daily Pivot Point R30.5987

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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