|

NZD/USD may test 0.5670 next – OCBC

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains under mild downward pressure and could test 0.5670 next, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Downward bias remains intact

24-HOUR VIEW: "While we expected NZD to “continue to edge lower,” yesterday, we held the view that it “is unlikely to be able to break below 0.5700.” However, NZD managed to break 0.5700, dropping to a low of 0.5694 before recovering slightly to close at 0.5708 (-0.26%). The downward bias remains intact, but based on the current momentum, NZD is unlikely to threaten the major support at 0.5670 today. Note that there is another support level at 0.5685. Resistance levels are at 0.5715 and 0.5725."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Last Friday (31 Oct, spot at 0.5740), we highlighted that “there has been a slight increase in downward momentum. We expected NZD to “edge lower, potentially testing 0.5700.” While NZD broke below 0.5700 and dropped to a low of 0.5694 yesterday, there is no significant increase in downward momentum. That said, there is scope for NZD to test 0.5670 next. Overall, only a breach of 0.5750 (‘strong resistance’ level previously at 0.5765) would indicate that the mild downward pressure has eased."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold remains depressed around $4,350 amid rate jitters, modest USD strength

Gold maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session, and currently trades around $4,350, down over 0.50% for the day. The commodity, however, holds comfortably above a six-week low, touched last Wednesday as traders await further developments around the Middle East crisis and their implications for inflation. This, in turn, would influence interest rate expectations and, in turn, drive the non-yielding bullion.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.