|

NZD/USD holds steady near monthly top, around 0.5730 amid RBNZ's hawkish stance

  • NZD/USD sticks to a bullish bias on the back of the RBNZ’s hawkish outlook on the policy path.
  • Rising December Fed rate cut bets keep the USD on the defensive and lend additional support.
  • The upbeat market mood further underpins the risk-sensitive Kiwi and favors bullish traders.

The NZD/USD pair holds steady near the monthly high, around the 0.5730 region, during the Asian session on Friday and looks to build on its strong move up witnessed over the past week or so. Bulls, however, need to wait for a sustained break through a short-term descending trend-line resistance, extending from the October monthly peak, before placing fresh bets.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) continues to draw support from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) hawkish outlook on the future policy path, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the NZD/USD pair. The RBNZ delivered a fully priced 25 basis points (bps) rate cut earlier this week and signaled an end to its easing cycle. Adding to this, the better-than-expected release of New Zealand Retail Sales on Thursday, along with the upbeat market mood, benefits the risk-sensitive Kiwi.

The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, struggles to capitalize on the previous day's modest bounce from an over one-week low amid the growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower borrowing costs again in December. The bets were lifted by the recent dovish comments from several Fed officials. Moreover, a mixed set of US economic indicators released this week did little to alter market expectations, which, in turn, failed to assist the USD to lure buyers or lend support to the NZD/USD pair.

Moving ahead, there isn't any relevant market-moving economic data due for release from the US on Friday. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register strong weekly gains. Moreover, the aforementioned fundamental backdrop backs the case for an extension of the recent goodish recovery move from the 0.5580 region, or the lowest level since April, touched last week.

New Zealand Dollar Price Last 7 Days

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies last 7 days. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.61%-1.29%-0.77%-0.51%-1.44%-2.42%-0.17%
EUR0.61%-0.68%-0.18%0.10%-0.83%-1.82%0.46%
GBP1.29%0.68%0.54%0.79%-0.15%-1.14%1.15%
JPY0.77%0.18%-0.54%0.28%-0.67%-1.67%0.63%
CAD0.51%-0.10%-0.79%-0.28%-0.94%-1.93%0.36%
AUD1.44%0.83%0.15%0.67%0.94%-1.00%1.30%
NZD2.42%1.82%1.14%1.67%1.93%1.00%2.32%
CHF0.17%-0.46%-1.15%-0.63%-0.36%-1.30%-2.32%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD stays offered, breaks below 1.1400…again

EUR/USD adds to Tuesday’s slight losses and drops below the 1.1400 yardstick in the latter part of Wednesday’s NA session. The pair’s decline comes in response to the persistent recovery in the US Dollar, which seems to have met extra support following the cautious tone from Fed’s Warsh in his comments at the ECB Forum.

Gold recovers but sellers hold the grip

Gold keeps the bullish performance in place on Wednesday, although is now giving away part of its earlier advance past the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s marked rebound comes despite the US Dollar’s bid bias, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and positive headlines from the Middle East.


Dogecoin vs Shiba Inu: DOGE and SHIB start July with similar setups
The cryptocurrency market shows subtle signs of rebounding on Wednesday after facing intense headwinds over the past few weeks, largely attributed to geopolitical tensions, macroeconomic uncertainty and risk-averse sentiment. Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) are holding above pivotal support levels at $0.0700 and $0.0000040, respectively, suggesting investors are ready to reengage.
Warsh stays on message as inflation remains the Fed's top priority
At the ECB Forum in Sintra, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh largely followed the script, offering little to change the market’s current view on monetary policy.
Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.