|

NZD/USD gains on softer US ADP data, China trade balance in focus

  • NZD/USD trades slightly higher after weaker-than-expected US ADP employment data.
  • Markets remain calm as attention shifts to US services sector indicators.
  • Investors also turn their focus to China’s December Trade Balance, a key driver for the New Zealand economy.

NZD/USD trades around 0.5790 on Wednesday at the time of writing, up 0.10% on the day, supported by a mix of macroeconomic factors despite a mixed flow of news from the United States (US). The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) maintains a mildly positive bias as the US Dollar (USD) shows limited reaction to softer-than-expected private employment data.

This week, investors’ attention is focused on the release of China’s Trade Balance for December, due on Thursday. This indicator is particularly important for the New Zealand Dollar, given the strong dependence of New Zealand’s economy on exports to Beijing. An improvement in China’s external trade could reinforce expectations of demand for New Zealand commodities and agricultural products, offering additional support to the Kiwi.

On the US side, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute reports that private sector employment increased by 41,000 jobs in December, following a revised decline of 29,000 in November. The figure comes in slightly below market expectations of 47,000. 

According to ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson, small businesses recovered from previous job losses at year-end, while larger firms scaled back hiring. This report limits support for the US Dollar, without triggering any significant moves in the foreign exchange market.

Meanwhile, investors remain attentive to upcoming US data releases. The ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for December is expected to edge lower to 52.3 from 52.6 in November, a level still consistent with solid expansion in activity. In addition, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to publish the JOLTS Job Openings data for November, which are expected to ease slightly to 7.6 million from 7.67 million previously. These indicators should help refine expectations regarding the future path of Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy.

In this context, NZD/USD continues to trade mainly on expectations related to China’s economic outlook and overall risk sentiment, while recent US data have not been sufficient to provide clear momentum for the US Dollar.

New Zealand Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies today. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.05%0.03%-0.09%-0.08%-0.09%-0.11%-0.02%
EUR0.05%0.08%-0.04%-0.03%-0.03%-0.06%0.03%
GBP-0.03%-0.08%-0.13%-0.11%-0.12%-0.15%-0.06%
JPY0.09%0.04%0.13%0.01%0.00%-0.03%0.07%
CAD0.08%0.03%0.11%-0.01%-0.00%-0.04%0.05%
AUD0.09%0.03%0.12%-0.01%0.00%-0.03%0.06%
NZD0.11%0.06%0.15%0.03%0.04%0.03%0.09%
CHF0.02%-0.03%0.06%-0.07%-0.05%-0.06%-0.09%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD regains mild traction, falters near 0.7150

AUD/USD gathers some steam and manages to flirt with the 0.7150 level on Thursday. However, the pair has retraced some of Wednesday’s significant pullback due to renewed selling pressure on the Greenback and a slight improvement in risk sentiment following hopes of a deal in the Middle East. Wrapping up the Australian docket, the RBA’s Hauser will speak early on Friday.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold puts its 200-day SMA to the test near $4,420

Gold keeps the bullish stance in place in the latter part of Thursday’s session, although a convincing break above the key $4,500 mark per troy ounce still remains elusive. The precious metal’s advance comes amid the resurgence of some selling interest around the Greenback, improving risk sentiment, and declining US Treasury yields across the board.

XRP plummets as ETF outflows, geopolitical tensions reinforce bearish outlook
Ripple (XRP) edges lower, trading around $1.15 at the time of writing on Thursday, its lowest price since February 6. The cross-border money remittance token is extending the sell-off for the fifth consecutive day, reflecting persistent headwinds from ongoing geopolitical tensions and investor uncertainty.
Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.