|

NZD/USD drops to the 0.5900 mark, US soft landing concern ahead of the US CPI data

  • NZD/USD loses momentum just above the 0.5900 area.
  • The headlines surrounding economic development in China might benefit the Kiwi (NZD).
  • Investors believe that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will pause the interest rate in the September’smeeting
  • Market players await the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), Chinese data.

The NZD/USD pair loses ground to 0.5910 after retreating from a weekly high of 0.5935 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday.

The latest data from Statistics New Zealand revealed on Tuesday that the nation’s Electronic Card Retail Sales for August came in at 3.7% YoY from 2.2% in the previous reading, while the monthly figure grew 0.7% versus 0% prior. Finally, the Visitor Arrivals for July came in at 59.3% YoY from the previous reading of 88.5%.

Apart from this, the headline surrounding economic development in China might benefit the China-proxy New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and limit the downside of the NZD/USD pair. That said, China’s deflation pressures eased as consumer prices in August improved from a negative territory. The data released on Saturday showed that the Chinese Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August rose 0.1% YoY, from a 0.3% drop in the previous month, compared to the 0.2% rise expected. The monthly figure was 0.3% as expected.

On the US Dollar front, recent data showed that the US manufacturing sector has been weaker than the services sector. Investors believe that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will pause the interest rate in the September meeting. However, the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday could provide hints Fed about the further rate hike for the rest of the year. Investors expect the US headline CPI to rise at a 0.5% annual rate owing to a rebound in gasoline costs. While core inflation remained stable at 0.2%.

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on the weekend that she felt more optimism that the US could control inflation without damaging the employment market. Yellen also said on Sunday that every gauge of inflation is declining and there were no massive wave of layoffs.

Looking ahead, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday will be closely watched by market players. On Thursday, the US Retail Sales and Industrial Production will be due. The attention will shift to the release of Chinese Retail Sales and Industrial Production for July, which might influence the Kiwi. Traders will take a cue from the figures and find trading opportunities for the NZD/USD pair.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.591
Today Daily Change-0.0010
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open0.592
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5927
Daily SMA500.6076
Daily SMA1000.6121
Daily SMA2000.6209
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5936
Previous Daily Low0.5884
Previous Weekly High0.5961
Previous Weekly Low0.5847
Previous Monthly High0.6219
Previous Monthly Low0.5885
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.5916
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5904
Daily Pivot Point S10.589
Daily Pivot Point S20.5861
Daily Pivot Point S30.5838
Daily Pivot Point R10.5942
Daily Pivot Point R20.5965
Daily Pivot Point R30.5994

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD recovers

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and declines toward 1.1700 on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the US Dollar benefits from the cautious market stance, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.