|

NZD/USD: Can continue to weaken towards 0.6170 – UOB Group

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could continue to weaken; oversold conditions suggest any decline is unlikely to break below the significant support at 0.6170. Momentum has increased further; NZD could continue to decline to 0.6170, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

NZD can continue to decline to 0.6170

24-HOUR VIEW: “Yesterday, we noted that ‘there has been a slight increase in momentum.’ We highlighted that ‘while NZD could break below 0.6250, the major support at 0.6225 is still unlikely to come into view.’ The anticipated weakness exceeded our expectations as NZD fell to a low of 0.6211. While NZD could continue to weaken, oversold conditions suggest any decline is unlikely to break below the significant support at 0.6170 (minor support is at 0.6200). Resistance is 0.6235; a breach of 0.6255 would suggest that NZD is not weakening further.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Two days ago (02 Oct, spot at 0.6285), we noted that ‘downward momentum has increased slightly.’ We held the view that ‘the pullback in NZD could potentially reach 0.6225.’ Yesterday, NZD dropped below 0.6225, reaching a low of 0.6211. Momentum has increased further, and NZD could continue to decline to 0.6170. We will expect NZD to weaken as long as it remains below 0.6295 (‘strong resistance’ previously at 0.6325.).”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold meets contention near $4,420…for now

Gold extends its recovery past the $4,500 mark per troy ounce on Thursday. The yellow metal’s advance comes amid the resurgence of some selling interest around the, improving risk sentiment, and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin’s massive storm is back: Why the sell-off is far from over

Bitcoin price action over the last few weeks has felt less like a normal, healthy correction and more like a slow grinding crash that continues to wreak havoc on holdings and trading accounts. And everything suggests that the dramatic crash isn’t over.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.