|

Australian Dollar trims gains after Bullock’s hawkish tone

  • AUD/USD trades on a bearish bias after gaining steam earlier in the session.
  • US initial jobless claims rose to 225K, but the broader labor market remains stable.
  • RBA Governor Michele Bullock maintained a cautious stance on inflation, reinforcing expectations that the RBA will not rush into additional rate cuts.

The AUD/USD pair trades near 0.7140 on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) regains traction following the latest labor market data, while traders continue to assess remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock.

United States (US) Initial Jobless Claims rose to 225K in the week ending May 30, above the market expectation of 213K and up from 212K previously. Despite the increase, claims remain consistent with a relatively stable labor market. Continuing Claims also declined, reinforcing the view that labor market conditions remain resilient.

Earlier in the day, Bullock struck a relatively hawkish tone, emphasizing that the RBA remains focused on ensuring inflation returns sustainably to target. She also noted that policymakers are still assessing whether financial conditions are restrictive enough and signaled caution about premature policy easing, which supported Australian yields and helped the Australian Dollar (AUD) limit its losses.

Investors now turn their attention to Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday, which will provide further clues on the strength of the US labor market and influence expectations for the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy path.

Chart Analysis AUD/USD

Short-term technical analysis:

On the 4-hour chart, AUD/USD trades at 0.7141, maintaining a modest bearish bias as it sits below both the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.7158 and the 100-period SMA at 0.7161. The pair is hovering just above nearby support, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 44 suggests fading upside momentum, hinting that bounces may remain capped unless buyers can force a sustained break back above the clustered moving averages.

On the topside, initial resistance aligns at 0.7149, followed by the 20-period SMA at 0.7158 and the 100-period SMA at 0.7161, which together form a dense supply zone that would need to be cleared to ease the current bearish tone. On the downside, immediate support emerges at 0.7139, with further cushions at 0.7135 and the prior base around 0.7128. A drop through these levels would open the door to a deeper corrective leg in the near term.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Agustin Wazne

Agustin Wazne joined FXStreet as a Junior News Editor, focusing on Commodities and covering Majors.

More from Agustin Wazne
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Gains remain capped by $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus attention on the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline as the US Dollar alternates gains with losses at the end of the week.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends decline as returning ETF inflows fail to lift outlook
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Weekly focus – The hawks set the tone
Risky assets came under pressure this week as energy prices kept creeping higher and the ECB surprised the markets with a hawkish tone. The price of Brent crude touched USD 110 per barrel on Thursday night, highest since mid-May, as news emerged that the Yemeni Houthis had reached control of key port cities and islands near the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.