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NZD/USD below 0.68 as investors shun risk, China data misses estimates

  • NZD/USD has hit the lowest since Nov. 28.
  • The pair lost 60 pips ahead of the China data release, possibly due to risk aversion and the resulting drop in the JPY cross.
  • Below-forecast China retail sales and industrial production data released soon before press time is adding to the bearish tone around the NZD.

The NZD/USD pair has dropped more than 60 pips in the last one hour, courtesy of risk aversion and a weaker-than-expected China data.

Kiwi ran into offers near 0.6860 an hour ago, reportedly due to the news that Reserve Bank of New Zealand is considering almost doubling the required capital banks would need to hold to bolster the financial system’s capacity to handle any shocks. That may not be the case as doubling capital requirements would tighten financial conditions and boost borrowing costs - which would be positive for the NZD. 

Also, the news hit the wires in early Asia and Kiwi began losing altitude much later after investors began selling risk. The S&P 500 futures fell into the red, driving the NZD/JPY cross lower. As of writing, the S&P 500 futures are down 0.60 percent and the JPY cross is down 1 percent. 

The bearish tone around the Kiwi strengthened further a few minutes ago, pushing the NZD/USD below 0.68 for the first time since Nov. 28, as China's retail sales and industrial production numbers missed estimates. Retail sales for November came in at 8.1 percent year-on-year, missing the estimate of 8.8 percent by a big margin. Meanwhile, industrial production also missed estimates by printing at 5.4 percent.

Looking forward, investors may continue to shun risk due to signs of a slowdown in China. As a result, NZD/USD may remain on the defensive.

NZD/USD Technical Levels

NZD/USD

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 0.6801
    Today Daily change: -63 pips
    Today Daily change %: -0.918%
    Today Daily Open: 0.6864
Trends:
    Previous Daily SMA20: 0.6854
    Previous Daily SMA50: 0.67
    Previous Daily SMA100: 0.667
    Previous Daily SMA200: 0.685
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 0.688
    Previous Daily Low: 0.6842
    Previous Weekly High: 0.697
    Previous Weekly Low: 0.6846
    Previous Monthly High: 0.6887
    Previous Monthly Low: 0.6514
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 0.6865
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 0.6856
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S1: 0.6844
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S2: 0.6824
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S3: 0.6806
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R1: 0.6882
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R2: 0.69
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R3: 0.692

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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