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NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls try to maintain the uptrend despite persisting consolidation

  • The consolidation phase extends as the Kiwi witnesses difficulty against the Yen.
  • Indicators on the daily chart trend downwards, indicating potential for further consolidation in the upcoming sessions.
  • Retesting the 97.00 level could be on the cards, but a break above this resistance appears unlikely due to weak buying traction.

On Monday, the NZD/JPY pair extended its consolidation phase after hitting a multi-year high last week. The technical landscape suggests that sellers may have their chance as consolidation continues, potentially limiting the pair's upward movement under the key resistance level of 97.00. However, the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is holding as strong support and bulls continue to defend it.

The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) for NZD/JPY now stands at 60, indicating a slight retracement downwards and a decrease in the bullish momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to print rising red bars, indicating an ongoing consolidation phase.

NZD/JPY daily chart

Buyers continue to maintain their stand above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), demonstrating an effort to uphold the bullish trend. Regardless, the downturn observed in the daily technical indicators points towards the market's need for further consolidation after the significant leap to nearly 96.00 since May.

The upcoming trading sessions might witness the pair movings between the support level of 95.00 and the resistance level of 97.00 as this pair remains among the tallest since June 2007. Notably, the bears have struggled twice consecutively to breach the 20-day SMA at 96.20, making it unlikely for the downtrend to continue The longer-term 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), established roughly around 90.00 - 92.00, continue to protect the overall bullish aspect of the pair. The area around 95.30 also offers substantial support against potential losses.

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price96.69
Today Daily Change0.04
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open96.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA2096.2
Daily SMA5094.03
Daily SMA10092.63
Daily SMA20090.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High97.25
Previous Daily Low96.1
Previous Weekly High97.25
Previous Weekly Low95.62
Previous Monthly High96.74
Previous Monthly Low90.83
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%96.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%96.81
Daily Pivot Point S196.08
Daily Pivot Point S295.52
Daily Pivot Point S394.93
Daily Pivot Point R197.24
Daily Pivot Point R297.82
Daily Pivot Point R398.39

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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