|

NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears are in control, eyeing 77.00

  • The NZD/JPY begins the Asian session in the right foot, up 0.17%.
  • Wall Street’s risk-off market sentiment gained follow-through ahead of the Tokyo open.
  • From a technical perspective, the break below 78.64 would exert downward pressure on the pair, as NZD bears eye 77.00 and beyond.

As the Asian Pacific session begins, the NZD/JPY moderately advances during the day, trading at 77.32 during the day at the time of writing. Factors like omicron strain vaccine effectivity comments by a pharmaceutical CEO and Fed’s Chair Jerome Powell hawkish comments dampened the market sentiment, thus favoring safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen,

Furthermore, on Tuesday, at a hearing at the US Senate Committee on Banking and Housing, US central bank Chairman Jerome Powell switched from a neutral-dovish monetary policy stance towards a hawkish one. He said that the Fed’s target for inflation has been met and commented that inflation can not be longer considered “transitory.”

NZD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

From a technical perspective, the NZD/JPY daily chart depicts a downward bias, confirmed by the daily moving averages (DMA’s) residing above the spot price with a flattish slope. Further, the cross-currency pair broke below the September 3 high at 78.64 previous resistance-turned-support, a crucial level, as the 100 and the 200-DMA were exposed and broken, once the former gave way to JPY bulls.

In the outcome of extending the downward move, the first support would be the November 30 low at 76.65. A breach of the latter would expose the September 22 low at 76.33, followed by the August 19 low at 74.55.

On the other hand, the first resistance would be the November 30 high at 77.76. A break of that level would exert upward pressure on the pair, exposing the 100 and the 200-DMA’s around the 78.09-78.25 area. Once the abovementioned is broken, the next resistance would be the 50-DMA at 79.52.

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price77.32
Today Daily Change-0.07
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open77.39
 
Trends
Daily SMA2080.01
Daily SMA5079.55
Daily SMA10078.29
Daily SMA20078.15
 
Levels
Previous Daily High77.79
Previous Daily Low77.14
Previous Weekly High80.31
Previous Weekly Low77.05
Previous Monthly High82.51
Previous Monthly Low76.44
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%77.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%77.38
Daily Pivot Point S177.08
Daily Pivot Point S276.78
Daily Pivot Point S376.43
Daily Pivot Point R177.74
Daily Pivot Point R278.09
Daily Pivot Point R378.39

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

The selling pressure on EUR/USD is picking up pace, with the pair slipping decisively below the key 1.1800 level and sliding to fresh two week lows as Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The move lower comes as the US Dollar finds renewed strength after the latest round of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Next of note on the docket will be the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
 

GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, approaching the 1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs near the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Australia unemployment rate set to edge up within overall strong labor market

The Australian monthly employment report is scheduled for release on Thursday at 00:30 GMT, and market participants anticipate a modest increase in jobs in January. The Australian Bureau of Statistics is expected to announce that the country added 20K new jobs in the month, while the Unemployment Rate is forecast at 4.2%, up from the 4.1% posted in December.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.