|

NZD/JPY nosedives 100 pips as RBNZ keeps Cash Rate Peak unchanged, unveils 0.25% rate lift

  • NZD/JPY slumps to the lowest level in a week, extends previous pullback from yearly high.
  • RBNZ announces 0.25% OCR hike, keeps peak rate forecasts unchanged.
  • Retreat in yields, upbeat concerns about Japan manufacturers also weigh on prices.
  • Risk catalysts are the key, RBNZ’s Orr eyed for immediate directions.

NZD/JPY stands on slippery grounds as it takes offers around 81.50, down more than 100 pips on a day, as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) fails to offer hawkish surprise to the markets on early Wednesday.

RBNZ announces 0.25% increase to its Official Cash Rate (OCR), as expected, during May month monetary policy meeting. It’s worth noting that the RBNZ defends its cash rate peak at 5.5% and exert downside pressure on the NZD/USD prices.

Also read: Breaking: RBNZ hikes rates by 25 bps to 5.50% in May, widely expected

Apart from the RBNZ moves, the retreat in the US Treasury bond yields and recently upbeat concerns about Japan also weigh on the exotic pair.

That said, the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yields retreated from the highest levels since early March the previous day. On the other hand, “Business sentiment at big Japanese manufacturers turned positive for the first time this year and service-sector morale hit a five-month high, providing more evidence of an economy on the mend after a COVID-led recession,” per the monthly results of the Reuters Tankan survey.

Moving on, challenges to sentiment and the bond market moves can entertain the NZD/JPY pair traders while a press conference by RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr could offer immediate directions to the cross-currency pair. Should the policymaker manages to defend the hawkish bias, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) may witness a corrective bounce.

Technical analysis

Despite the latest retreat, a one-month-old ascending support line, near 85.15 by the press time, challenges the NZD/JPY bears dominance.

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price86.53
Today Daily Change-0.05
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open86.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA2084.96
Daily SMA5083.54
Daily SMA10083.61
Daily SMA20084.33
 
Levels
Previous Daily High87.31
Previous Daily Low86.4
Previous Weekly High87.09
Previous Weekly Low84.01
Previous Monthly High84.33
Previous Monthly Low81.56
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%86.75
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%86.96
Daily Pivot Point S186.22
Daily Pivot Point S285.86
Daily Pivot Point S385.31
Daily Pivot Point R187.13
Daily Pivot Point R287.67
Daily Pivot Point R388.03

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to multi-day peaks below 1.3500

GBP/USD trades with marked gains on Friday, now giving away some gains following an earlier surpass of the key 1.3500 yardstick. Indeed, Cable gathers fresh steam amid the strong offered stance in the Greenback, all after US NFP badly missed expectations in July.

EUR/USD: Post-NFP bounce falters around 1.1580

EUR/USD reverses Thursday’s decline and trades with solid gains in the 1.1560 region, or two-month peaks, on Friday. The pair’s firm performance comes in a context of a sharp correction in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess disheartening US NFP readings.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

XRP Price Forecast: XRP nears critical $1.00 support
Ripple (XRP) remains pressured on Friday, trading around $1.03 at the time of writing. The token appears to hold this current level as support but lacks a catalyst to sustain a knee-jerk rebound toward the next key resistance at $1.10.
Is Gold about to enter its biggest bull run since 2020?
Gold has stormed back into the spotlight and its next move could leave late buyers chasing. On August 5, the yellow metal surged almost 7% – roughly $174 – to close near $4,308 an ounce, posting one of its biggest daily advances in recent history. A weaker U.S dollar, falling Treasury yields, changing Federal Reserve expectations and renewed safe-haven demand all struck at once.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.