Natural Gas Price Analysis: Bounces off 200-SMA despite risk aversion, firmer US Dollar
- Natural Gas rebounds from weekly low, snaps two-day losing streak.
- Hawkish Fed Minutes, economic woes underpin US Dollar strength and prod commodity buyers.
- 100-SMA, bearish MACD signals check corrective bounce; rising support line from early June adds to additional downside filters.
Natural Gas Price (XNG/USD) ignores firmer US Dollar and the risk-off mood to post the first daily gains so far in three days amid early Thursday. In doing so, the energy instrument bounces off the 200-SMA while printing mild gains to around $2.73 by the press time.
It’s worth noting, however, that the 100-SMA and the bearish MACD signals join the broad pessimism about the energy market to challenge the XNG/USD buyers around $2.74.
Even if the Natural Gas buyers manage to cross the 100-SMA hurdle, the XNG/USD buyers will be cautious as a downward-sloping resistance line from August 10, close to $2.84 at the latest, will challenge the quote’s further run-up.
Following that, a horizontal area comprising the late July tops and the monthly high, surrounding $2.93–94, will precede the monthly peak of $3.07 to prod the bulls.
On the other hand, a downside break of the 200-SMA support of $2.69 will direct the XNG/USD sellers toward an upward-sloping support line from June 01, near $2.57 at the latest.
In a case where the Natural Gas sellers keep the reins past $2.57, the monthly low of $2.50 will be in danger.
Natural Gas Price: Four-hour chart
Trend: Pullback expected
Author
Anil Panchal
FXStreet
Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.
