|

Nasdaq futures surge to 21,552 after 21,315 hold: Next upside targets at 21,611 and 21,682

Wednesday Mid-Session Update – Nasdaq-100 Futures (NQM2025), 5-Min Chart

1. Price action recap (London → US Open)

  • Early London Dip & Hold: Price briefly tested the 21,315 zone (61.8% Fib/POC/VWAP lower) but held, forming a sharp reversal wick.
  • Reclaim & Rally: A swift bounce from 21,315 carried NQ back above 21,405 (VWAP mid) and 21,463 (23.6% Fib/VAH).
  • US Open Spike: Volume surge into NY morning drove a clean breakout to 21,552.50 ( May 14 swing), marking Tuesday's high.
  • Current Trading Range: 21,552 – 21,463, as price digests that breakout into midday.

London session

US opening session

2. Levels tested & targets hit

21,315 - Tested & Held Demand base confirmed

21,405 - Reclaimed VWAP mid regained

21,463 - Cleared Fed into London supply zone

21,552.50 - Major target hit from the US opening trades, Tuesday's high; now near-term resistance

3. Updated targets and projections

Bullish Hold above 21,552.50 on 5-min close • 21,611 (H4 band) → 21,682 (50% Fib) → 21,753 (61.8%) → 21,806 (H4 high)

Bearish Failure back under 21,463 • 21,405 (VWAP mid) → 21,315 (POC/VWAP low) → 21,251 (78.6% Fib) → 21,169 (H4 VWAP)

4. Execution notes

  • Volume Confirmation: Look for strong green bars on retests above 21,552 and red spikes on drops under 21,463.
  • Alert Levels: 21,463 / 21,552.50 / 21,611 / 21,405 / 21,315.
  • Risk Management: Keep intraday stops tight (5–8 ticks) and trail as each target is hit.

Author

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Independent Analyst

Denis Joeli Fatiaki possesses over a decade of extensive experience as a multi-asset trader and Market Strategist.

More from Denis Joeli Fatiaki
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 100-SMA hurdle near 0.7035 as hawkish RBA counters firmer USD

AUD/USD regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs to 0.7030 during the Asian session, reversing the previous day's corrective slide from a one-month high as hawkish RBA rate expectations continue to support the Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the 100-day SMA pivotal resistance amid a firmer US Dollar as traders brace for Australia’s September CPI report on Wednesday ahead of the Fed rate decision.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold sticks to intraday losses around $4,000 as USD stays firm ahead of FOMC

Gold maintains its offered tone through the first half of Tuesday’s European session, with bearish traders looking to extend the slide further below the $4,000 psychological mark amid a broadly firmer US Dollar. The precious metal, however, holds above the three-month low touched on Monday, as traders refrain from placing aggressive directional bets and opt to wait for the outcome of the two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday.

Pi Network stalls as weak crypto sentiment caps recovery

Pi Network (PI) holds steady above $0.0760 at press time on Tuesday, stalling after a roughly 2% rebound the previous day. The broader market's weak sentiment and reduced trading volume weigh on the PI token. The technical outlook is bearish, with price capped below a long-term resistance trendline and weak momentum.

France tests the Euro's nerve: What the OAT spread is telling FX traders
France's 10-year borrowing premium over Germany hit its widest since the 2011 debt crisis last week. With public spending above 57% of GDP, unrest on the streets and a presidential election next spring, cuts look unlikely. If Paris cannot trim, the bill may be paid quietly through financial repression.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.