Moody’s sees 2019 Turkish growth at 0.25%, rebounding to at least 3% in 2020/2021

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

Amid ongoing geopolitical tensions between Turkey and Syria, the US-based Moody’s Investors Service provides some insights into the country’s economic situation.

Key Points:

Turkish economic programme growth targets risk increasing macro imbalances.

Sees 2019 Turkish growth at 0.25%, rebounding to at least 3% in 2020 and 2021.

New Turkey growth targets do not seem compatible with other assumptions in economic plan.

Expects Turkey balance of payment pressures to resume once growth picks up.

Not clear Turkish growth targets possible without significant fiscal stimulus.

Until Turkey implements reforms it will remain vulnerable to balance of payment crises.

Meanwhile, USD/TRY rallies hard to reach the daily tops at 5.8827, +0.86% on the day.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

EUR/USD challenges 1.1700, six-week lows

EUR/USD remains under heavy downside pressire in quite a dfrreadful start to the new trading week, putting the 1.1700 support to the test amid the marked rebound in the US Dollar. The flight-so-safety environment continues to support the Greenback following the escalating conflict in the Middle East.

GBP/USD hits new yearly lows near 1.3300

GBP/USD adds to the recent bearish tone, approaching to the key 1.3300 support to reach fresh YTD troughs against the backdrop of the robust performance of the US Dollar. Indeed, Cable’s decline comes amid the firm demand for the safe-haven space in the wake of the US and Israel attacks to Iran.

Gold shifts its attention to $5,600 on fligh-to-safety mood

Gold climbs to levels last seen in late January past the $5,400 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal’s strong uptick remains fuelled by incresing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the consequent demand for safer assets.

Bitcoin on brink of breakdown amid US-Iran war

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure near the key support level of $65,700. Trading at $66,400 at the time of writing on Monday, a breakdown below this critical level would suggest a deeper correction ahead.

The week ahead: Conflict in the Middle East jolts markets

Events in the Middle East are obviously dominating financial markets this morning. The Brent crude oil price is extending gains and is higher by more than 8%, stock futures are pointing lower and the gold price is higher by more than 2%.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Core team offloads supply, weighing on PI recovery

Pi Network hovers below $0.1700, broadly steady at press time on Monday, attempting a recovery after a 2% loss the previous day. Sunday’s decline aligned with nearly 49 million PI tokens offloaded by the Pi Foundation, implying a spike in supply pressure that capped the prevailing four-day recovery.