|

Market wrap: a USD weaker across the G10 - ANZ

Analysts at ANZ offered a market wrap.

Key Quotes:

"Global equities were mixed with treasury yields down a couple of basis points and the USD weaker across the G10. Commodities were up a small amount. European bourses closed within 0.2% of Thursday with a late-day rally erasing most intraday losses. US stocks opened lower, but rose slightly on lighter volumes. Telcos and real estate offset consumer discretionary declines. The preliminary Michigan consumer confidence reading dropped on lower buying intentions due to unfavourable prices. This will be an important theme to monitor. The dollar weakened against all in the G10 with CAD outperforming after stronger CPI was released (3.0% vs. expected unchanged at 2.5%). WTI oil was up 0.7% to USD65.91 and gold climbed 0.9%."

Higher prices taking a toll? 

"The provisional University of Michigan August consumer confidence came in weaker than expected at 95.3 (mkt: 98.0) with current conditions leading declines at 107.8 (last: 114.4) and expectations steady at 87.3 (last: 87.3). Buying conditions for durables fell to the lowest in nearly four years, due mainly to the least favourable perceptions of prices in 10 years. Vehicle buying conditions were also viewed less favourably, with prices being judged the least favourable since 1984. Home prices were judged the least favourably since 2006. Surprisingly, perhaps, the expectation for inflation over 1 year was stable at 2.9% with a tenth uptick in long-term inflation to 2.5%."

Canada inflation jumps: 

"Canada July inflation came in well above expectations at 3.0% y/y (mkt: 2.5%; last: 2.5%), up 0.5% m/m. Energy costs were a big driver, up 14.2% y/y, and a spike in air transportation (28% y/y) also helped. Shelter costs also lifted. With capacity constraints building, the housing market rebounding, jobs plentiful, wage growth rising, investment growth buoyed, terms of trade higher, and NAFTA close to resolution, the Bank of Canada looks set to turn more hawkish."

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.