|

Kiwi extends backslide from recent high, opens the way up to 0.6100

  • The Kiwi has seen two consecutive down days, pulling the NZD down from 0.6200.
  • Market risk appetite has turned south this week, pushing investors into safe havens.
  • Investor focus squarely on US data this week with NFP in the pipe.

The NZD/USD heads into the Wednesday market session struggling near the 0.6130 level as the kiwi (NZD) locks in two consecutive days of declines against the US Dollar (USD).

Market sentiment soured early Tuesday after Moody’s downgraded China’s sovereign debt outlook, with the ratings agency citing the Chinese government’s looming expenses should China need to start bailing out beleaguered local governments and drowning state-owned agencies.

US data came in mixed on Tuesday, with the Institute for Supply Management’s Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in at 52.7 for the annualized period into November, compared to the median market forecast of 52, and the Services sector PMI showed a step up from October’s 51.8.

US JOLTS Jobs Openings showed still-tightening labor market conditions with the report printing 8.733 million job postings, a two-and-a-half-year low and undercutting the previous month’s 9.35 million (revised down slightly from 9.553 million).

With a still-tight labor market weighing down investors hopes for a sooner-rather-than-later Federal Reserve rate cut cycle, market sentiment has knocked back on multiple fronts, sending the US Dollar higher against most major currencies heading into the midweek.

Wednesday brings US ADP Employment Change, and Friday will close the trading week out with another round of the US’ Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP); both labor indicators are expected to show improving employment conditions and a still-tightening labor market. The ADP Employment Change is expected to print at 130K in November compared to the previous 113K, while the NFP is forecast to come in at 185K vs October’s 150K.

NZD/USD Technical Outlook

The Kiwi has backslid straight into the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 0.6130, and intraday price action is set to get hung up near the price level with exposure risk tilting firmly to the downside as the 50-hour SMA turns bearish into 0.6160, capping off upside bids.

Daily candlesticks have the NZD/USD is set to confirm a bearish pullback to the 200-day SMA just below 0.6100, and Monday’s four-month peak just below 0.6225 represents the nearest technical ceiling for near-term bids.

NZD/USD Daily Chart

NZD/USD Technical Levels

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6133
Today Daily Change-0.0033
Today Daily Change %-0.54
Today daily open0.6166
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6033
Daily SMA500.5959
Daily SMA1000.5985
Daily SMA2000.609
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6223
Previous Daily Low0.615
Previous Weekly High0.6208
Previous Weekly Low0.606
Previous Monthly High0.6208
Previous Monthly Low0.5788
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6178
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6195
Daily Pivot Point S10.6137
Daily Pivot Point S20.6107
Daily Pivot Point S30.6064
Daily Pivot Point R10.621
Daily Pivot Point R20.6253
Daily Pivot Point R30.6283

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Gold extends its consolidative phase around $4,300

Gold trades in positive above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. XAU/USD capitalizes on renewed USD weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November and the PMI data revealed a loss of growth momentum in the private sector in December. 

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

Retail Sales in the United States were virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.1% increase (revised from 0.3%) recorded in September and came in below the market expectation of +0.1%.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.