JPMorgan (JPM Stock) set for the Santa Rally [Video]

Giles Coghlan LLB, Lth, MA Financial Source

Many stocks tend to gain towards the end of the year in what’s known as a ‘Santa Rally’. Is it optimism surrounding holidays? Window dressing year-end results? A self-fulfilling prophecy as the general mood of buying gifts translates into buying stocks too? Whatever it is, the pattern is notable. Furthermore, if the Fed needs to hike more aggressively then certain stocks can still gain in a high-interest-rate environment, particularly banks that can increase their interest rate charges on loans.

Over the last 10 years, JPMorgan has had a bias for strength. It has gained 8 times and only lost value 2 times with an average return of 2.64% between December 14 and December 31. With the Federal Reserve meeting on December 14 is it worth considering this seasonal pattern as a potential beneficiary of the so-called ‘Santa Rally’?

Major trade risks: The biggest risk here is any specific news here for JPMorgan and the Federal Reserve meeting itself. Also, prior seasonal patterns are not guarantees of future seasonal patterns.

Learn more about HYCM

Author

Giles Coghlan LLB, Lth, MA

Financial Source

Giles is the chief market analyst for Financial Source. His goal is to help you find simple, high-conviction fundamental trade opportunities. He has regular media presentations being featured in National and International Press.

AUD/USD remains above 0.7200 after China's trade data

AUD/USD sits above 0.7200 in the Asian session on Tuesday, near its highest level since May 14. The US Dollar stays under pressure as a rallying Japanese Yen outweighs support from hawkish Fed bets and geopolitical tensions. This, along with firming expectations for another RBA rate hike later this month, acts as a tailwind for the Aussie. However, mixed China trade balance data keep the pair restricted.

USD/JPY stabilizes at around 154.00 as markets assess BoJ outlook

USD/JPY fluctuates at around 154.00 in the American session on Tuesday after rebounding from the six-month low it touched below 153.00 earlier in the day. Nevertheless, the upside attempts resemble technical corrections for now as Japan's upbeat wage growth data and Q2 GDP revision cement bets on a BoJ rate hike next week and continue to support the Japanese Yen.

Gold holds around $4,400, but for how long?

Gold (XAU/USD) remains on the back foot during American trading hours on Tuesday, even as the US Dollar (USD) remains on the defensive. Rising Oil prices and expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike weigh on the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,400 after reaching an intraday high near $4,443.

XRP ticks up as bullish derivatives, EMA support signal breakout

Ripple (XRP) is grinding upward and getting closer to a short-term breakout above $1.40 on Tuesday. This uptick follows the remittance token's defense of support at $1.38, after a short-lived attempt to breach selling pressure at $1.50 last week.

Europe in focus: September 2026

Six major net contributors demanded substantial cuts to the European Commission’s proposed 2028–2034 EU budget. Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden issued a joint position on 27 August calling for the nearly €2 trillion proposal to be reduced by several hundred billion euros and rejecting additional common EU borrowing.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.