|

It’s Black Wednesday for this retailer as stock soars 13%

Wall Street analysts are bullish on this clothing retailer.

Heading into Black Friday and the holiday shopping season, retailers are primed and ready for a big final month of the year.

But it was Black Wednesday for one retailer, Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN), as its stock price soared 13% on Wednesday to near a 52-week high.

The catalyst was the clothing retailer’s third quarter earnings, which set records for revenue and earnings, and beat expectations.

  • Net sales: $1.53 billion, up 12% year-over-year. This beat estimates of $1.48 billion.
  • Net income: $116.4M, up 13% year-over-year.
  • Earnings: $1.28 per share, up 16% year-over-year. This beat estimates of $1.19 per share.

Urban Outfitters saw revenue in its retail segment jump 10% to $1.3 billion with same store sales rising 8%. The gains in comp sales were driven by high single-digit positive growth in both digital channel sales and retail store sales.

Also, its subscription segment soared 44% to $145 million, while its wholesale business rose 7% to $88 million.

Anthropologie, Urban Outfitters and Free People

To better understand Urban Outfitters earnings, it helps to know its brands and where the revenue is coming from. It has three retail store chains — Anthropologie, Urban Outfitters, and Free People. It also has a subscription-based clothing rental business, called Nuuly. Finally, it also owns several restaurants and event spaces, called Menus and Venues. Here’s how much revenue each generated in Q3.

  • Anthropologie: $634.8M, up 8% year-over-year.
  • Free People: $399.3M, up 9% year-over-year.
  • Urban Outfitters: $339.8M, up 13% year-over-year.
  • Nuuly: $144.6M, up 48% year-over-year.
  • Menus and Venues: $10.8M, up 5% year-over-year.

“These results underscore the strength of our diversified business model, which enables us to continue capturing market share, and drive consistent long-term growth,” Richard Hayne, CEO, said.

Margin expansion despite tariff headwinds

Urban Outfitters increased its gross profit margin in the quarter by 31 basis points year-over-year to 36.8%, despite tariff headwinds.

“We estimate that tariffs negatively impacted our third quarter gross margin rate by approximately 60 basis points, and we currently believe they will have an impact of approximately 75 basis points in the fourth quarter,” Frank Conforti, co-president and COO, said on the call. “Despite these headwinds, we still believe we can achieve approximately 100 basis points of gross margin improvement for the full fiscal year 2026.”

Conforti said the company has been able to mitigate the effect of tariffs by negotiating vendor terms, modifying its countries of origin, adjusting transportation modes, and strategically managing pricing.

“I want to emphasize that this plan reflects our current knowledge, and there is still a lot of uncertainty in today’s environment,” he added. “This uncertainty in addition to our ongoing mitigation efforts makes it challenging to predict the impact of tariffs beyond the fourth quarter.”

Wall Street upgrades

Along with operating margin expansion, Conforti said the company is poised for record sales and operating profits this year.

On the call, Hayne said November traffic and sales were robust with comp sales running ahead of expectations.

The company got a slew of price target upgrades from Wall Street analysts after releasing earnings. Among them, JP Morgan boosted its target to $86 per share while Morgan Stanley raised its target to $91 per share.

Urban Outfitter stock is up 39% YTD and 90% over the past 12 months. It is also cheap with a P/E ratio of 13 and a forward P/E of 12. It has also been a fantastic long-term performer with a 5-year average annualized return of 21% and a 10-year average return of 12%.

Author

Jacob Wolinsky

Jacob Wolinsky is the founder of ValueWalk, a popular investment site. Prior to founding ValueWalk, Jacob worked as an equity analyst for value research firm and as a freelance writer. He lives in Passaic New Jersey with his wife and four children.

More from Jacob Wolinsky
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD onsolidates around mid-1.1800s as traders keenly await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from the 1.1800 neighborhood, or a one-and-a-half-week low, and consolidates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-1.1800s, nearly unchanged for the day.

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold bounces back toward $4,900, looks to FOMC Minutes

Gold is attempting a bounce from the $4,850 level, having touched a one-week low on Tuesday. Signs of progress in US–Iran talks dented demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion, weighing on Gold in early trades. However, rising bets for more Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. Traders now seem reluctant ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which would offer cues about the Fed's rate-cut path and provide some meaningful impetus.

DeFi could lift crypto market from current bear phase: Bitwise

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan hinted that the decentralized finance sector could lead the crypto market out of the current bear phase, citing Aave Labs’ latest community proposal as a potential signal of good things to come.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.