|

Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Lounge Day Chart.

Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Gray Wave 2.

  • Position: Orange Wave 3.

  • Direction of next higher degrees: Gray Wave 3.

Details

Gray wave 1 appears to be complete, and gray wave 2 is currently in progress.

  • Wave Cancel Invalid Level: 16,449.94.

This analysis evaluates the Hang Seng Index using Elliott Wave theory on a daily chart. The market is currently in a counter-trend phase, signifying a temporary reversal within the broader trend. The primary structure under observation is gray wave 2, which started after the completion of gray wave 1. This phase represents the continuation of the corrective phase before the next impulsive wave begins.

The current position is within orange wave 3, a smaller wave inside the broader gray wave 2 corrective structure. This stage reflects ongoing counter-trend movement, with further development expected before transitioning into gray wave 3, which will mark the resumption of the upward impulsive trend.

Key threshold: Invalidation level

The invalidation level is defined at 16,449.94. If the index falls to this level, the current wave count and outlook will be invalidated. This threshold serves as a vital reference for traders, helping to confirm the corrective phase and manage risks effectively.

Conclusion

The Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the Hang Seng Index is currently in a counter-trend phase, with gray wave 2 actively unfolding. The completion of gray wave 1 confirmed the beginning of this corrective phase, while orange wave 3 represents the ongoing activity within the structure. The counter-trend outlook remains valid as long as the index stays above the invalidation level of 16,449.94. Further corrective movement is expected before transitioning to the impulsive phase associated with gray wave 3.

Chart

Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Lounge Weekly Chart.

Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Gray Wave 2.

  • Position: Orange Wave 3.

  • Direction of next higher degrees: Gray Wave 3.

Details

Gray wave 1 appears to be complete, with gray wave 2 currently unfolding.

  • Wave Cancel Invalid Level: 16,449.94.

This analysis evaluates the Hang Seng Index using Elliott Wave theory on a weekly chart, highlighting a counter-trend phase. The market is currently in a corrective mode, indicating a temporary reversal within the larger trend. The primary structure under observation is gray wave 2, which began following the completion of gray wave 1. This phase marks the continuation of the corrective wave before the next impulsive phase begins.

At present, the index is positioned within orange wave 3, a smaller wave inside the larger gray wave 2 corrective structure. This phase signifies the ongoing progression of the counter-trend movement. Further development is expected before the index transitions to gray wave 3, resuming the upward impulsive trend.

Key threshold: Invalidation level

The invalidation level is specified at 16,449.94. If the index reaches this level, the current wave count and outlook will be invalidated. This level serves as a critical benchmark for traders to validate the corrective phase's structure and manage risks effectively.

Conclusion

The Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the Hang Seng Index is in a counter-trend phase, with gray wave 2 actively unfolding. The completion of gray wave 1 confirmed the start of this corrective phase, while orange wave 3 reflects the ongoing activity within it. The counter-trend outlook remains valid as long as the index stays above the invalidation level of 16,449.94. Continued corrective movement is expected before transitioning to the impulsive phase associated with gray wave 3.

Chart

Technical analyst: Malik Awais.

Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD finds fresh demand

EUR/USD eases toward the 1.1700 mark in Europe trading on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.