H2 2018: Seven key risks ahead – JP Morgan

Analysts at JP Morgan highlight seven key risks, in its latest outlook report, as we head towards the second half of this year.
7 key risks:
- “Trade conflicts become an economically-significant trade war;
- US politics becomes even more complicated (Mueller investigation, mid-term elections);
- US core PCE inflation overshoots 2%, triggering faster Fed tightening;
- OPEC-Russia relaxation of oil accord becomes disorderly;
- Italy over eases fiscal policy and courts a funding crisis;
- US's strike-first-negotiate-later approach to diplomacy brings military entanglement in South China Sea, Korea, Iran or Syria;
- Liquidity risk turns a minor macro event into a major financial one.”
Author

Dhwani Mehta
FXStreet
Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

















