|

Gold teasing corrective bounce amid the drop in equities

  • Gold looks due for a corrective bounce as the precious metal's 4-hour RSI has diverged in favor of the bulls. 
  • A weaker-than-expected ADP and the drop in the employment sub-index of the ISM non-manufacturing has raised the possibility of the non-farm payrolls printing well below estimates. 
  • A risk-off tone in the stocks markets could bode well for the safe haven metal. 

Gold is attempting a corrective bounce in Asia, after having created a positive divergence of the RSI on the 4-hour chart yesterday. 

The yellow metal is currently trading at $1,287 - up 0.10 percent on the day. 

Prices hit a high of $1,290 yesterday after the US ADP report showed that non-farm private employment growth was below expectations in February at 183,000 vs 189,000 predicted. The uptick, however, was short-lived, possibly due to the upward revision of the previous month's print by 87,000.

That said, the markets may begin pricing in the possibility of a below-forecast NFP. After all, both the employment sub-index of the ISM non-manufacturing and the ADP employment report have shown fewer job additions in February

So, gold may see a stronger bounce while heading into Friday's non-farm payrolls release. 

Also, the risk-off tone in equities could bode well for the yellow metal. At press time, Japan's Nikkei is reporting  0.70 percent drop. Stocks in Hong Kong and South Korea are flashing moderate losses, while the Shanghai Composite index is trading largely unchanged on the day. 

Meanwhile, futures on the S&P 500 index are currently down 0.10 percent. The US stocks dropped yesterday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.52 percent. 

Gold Technical Levels

    1. R3 1298.28
    2. R2 1294.59
    3. R1 1291.08
  1. PP 1287.39
    1. S1 1283.88
    2. S2 1280.19
    3. S3 1276.68

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1750 as USD finds its feet

EUR/USD kicks off the new week on a softer note, holding below 1.1750 in European trading on Monday. The pair faces challenges due to a pause in the US Dollar downtrend, with traders shifting their focus to the delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls and CPI data for fresh directives. The ECB policy decision is also eagerly awaited. 

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3350 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD remains on the back foot above 1.3350 in the European session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the key 200-day SMA support. The US Dollar holds its recovery mode ahead of key data releases, while the Pound Sterling faces headwinds from the expected BoE rate cut this week. 

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.