|

Gold struggles to build on momentum beyond 100-DMA

   •  Fading safe-haven demand prompts some fresh selling at the start of a new trading week. 
   •  Fed rate hike prospects further driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal. 
   •  Investors look forward to this week’s key event/data for a fresh directional impetus.

Gold traded with a mild negative bias through the early European session and is currently placed at daily lows, around the $1224 region.

The precious metal continued with its struggle to build on the positive momentum further beyond 100-day SMA and remained confined within a broader trading range, held over the past one week or so. 

Moody’s downgrade of Italy’s credit rating to Baa3, a notch above junk status, and a stable outlook was well received by the market and a continuous improvement in investors' appetite for riskier assets dented the precious metal's safe-haven status. 

This coupled with firming prospects for gradual Fed rate hikes beyond 2018, reinforced by last week's FOMC meeting minutes, further collaborated towards capping any immediate upside for the non-yielding yellow metal.

However, a subdued US Dollar price action, which tends to underpin demand for the dollar-denominated commodity, might turn out to be one of the key factors helping limit deeper losses, at least for the time being.

Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a convincing break through the near-term range before traders start positioning for the commodity's next leg of directional move. 

This week's key events/macro releases, including the latest ECB monetary policy decision and advance US Q3 GDP growth figures, will play an important role in determining the commodity's near-term trajectory.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate support is pegged near the $1220-18 region, below which the slide could further get extended towards $1211-10 intermediate support en-route the $1206 level. On the flip side, a sustained move beyond the $1230 immediate hurdle now seems to pave the way for additional gains and accelerate the up-move further towards $1240 resistance ahead of $1247-48 supply zone.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.