|

Gold slides below 50-DMA, breaks through recent trading range

Following a consolidation phase, Gold finally broke on the downside and has now dropped below 50-day SMA to currently trade at 4-day low near $1327 region.

An early recovery in US equity markets seems to negate the risk-off sentiment prevalent during European session and denting the safe-haven appeal of the yellow metal. 

Moreover, a stronger greenback, as measured by the overall US Dollar Index, which got an additional boost from the release of better-than-expected consumer confidence data, is also weighing on dollar-denominated commodities - like gold. The Conference Board's US Consumer Confidence Index for September came-in at 104.1 as against an expected drop to 99.0 from 101.8 (revised higher from 101.1) recorded in August.

GMT
Event
Vol.
Actual
Consensus
Previous
Tuesday, Sep 27
14:00
 
104.1
99.0
101.8 Revised from 101.1




Focus now turns to a speech from Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, which might resurface expectations of an Fed rate-hike action in 2016 and could weigh further on the precious metal.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate downside support is pegged at $1322 level below which the metal gets exposed to retest $1310 support area. On the upside, 50-day SMA near $1332 region now becomes immediate resistance, which if cleared might lift the commodity back towards $1342 strong resistance.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds firm above 1.1900 as US NFP looms

EUR/USD holds its upbeat momentum above 1.1900 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, helped by a broadly weaker US Dollar. Markets could turn cautious later in the day as the delayed US employment report for January will takes center stage. 

GBP/USD remains above nine-day EMA near 1.3650

GBP/USD recovers its recent losses from the previous session, trading around 1.3680 during the European hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a sustained bullish bias, as the pair trades within an ascending channel pattern.

Gold sticks to gains near $5,050 as focus shifts to US NFP

Gold holds moderate gains near the $5,050 level in the European session on Wednesday, reversing a part of the previous day's modest losses amid dovish US Federal Reserve-inspired US Dollar weakness. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal ahead of the critical US NFP release. 

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to show modest job gains in January

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls data for January on Wednesday at 13:30 GMT. Investors expect NFP to rise by 70K following the 50K increase recorded in December.

S&P 500 at 7,000 is a valuation test, not a liquidity problem

The rebound from last week’s drawdown never quite shook the sense that it was being supported by borrowed conviction. The S&P 500 once again tested near the 7,000 level (6,986 as the high watermark) and failed, despite a macro backdrop that would normally be interpreted as supportive of risk.

Bitcoin price slips below $67,000 ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls data

Bitcoin price extends losses, and trades below the lower consolidating boundary at $67,300 at the time of writing. A firm close below this level could trigger a deeper correction for BTC. Despite the weakness in price action, institutional demand shows signs of support, recording mild inflows in ETFs so far this week.