|

EUR/JPY declines as Yen strengthens on Takaichi win, intervention speculation

  • EUR/JPY extends its decline and trades around 182.70, down 0.50% on Wednesday.
  • The Japanese Yen strengthens after Sanae Takaichi’s landslide election victory and on intervention speculation.
  • The Euro remains supported by expectations of steady monetary policy in the Eurozone.

EUR/JPY continues its correction for a third consecutive day and trades around 182.70 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.50% on the day. The pair drops below the psychological 183.00 level, pressured by a marked strengthening of the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid domestic political optimism and expectations of monetary policy normalization.

The Japanese Yen draws support from the election outcome in Japan, where Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi leads the Liberal Democratic Party to a historic landslide victory. Investors anticipate that a strengthened mandate could facilitate the implementation of pro-growth measures and provide the Bank of Japan (BoJ) with greater room to adjust its monetary policy gradually. This outlook fuels speculation about potential rate hikes in the medium term, underpinning the Japanese currency.

In addition, markets are once again discussing the possibility of intervention by Japanese authorities to curb excessive currency weakness. Even in the absence of any official announcement, these expectations help limit short positions in the Japanese Yen and add downward pressure on EUR/JPY.

On the European side, the Euro (EUR) retains some fundamental support. The European Central Bank (ECB) maintains a cautious stance after ending its easing cycle last year. The relative resilience of growth in the Eurozone currently reduces the need for further monetary accommodation. ECB President Christine Lagarde remains confident that inflation will stabilize around 2%, downplaying the impact of the latest softer Consumer Price Index (CPI) readings.

At the same time, the recently finalized trade agreement between the European Union (EU) and India has drawn attention. According to analysts at Danske Bank, the deal will eliminate tariffs on more than 90% of traded goods within seven years. Although India currently accounts for only a limited share of Eurozone exports, its strong growth potential could provide additional structural support to the Euro over the medium term.

In the short term, however, momentum remains tilted in favor of the Japanese Yen. Investor positioning toward Japanese assets, amid expectations of further domestic support measures and a gradual normalization of monetary policy, continues to weigh on EUR/JPY.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.19%-0.39%-0.64%-0.35%-0.64%-0.37%-0.25%
EUR0.19%-0.20%-0.48%-0.16%-0.45%-0.17%-0.06%
GBP0.39%0.20%-0.29%0.04%-0.25%0.02%0.14%
JPY0.64%0.48%0.29%0.31%0.02%0.29%0.42%
CAD0.35%0.16%-0.04%-0.31%-0.29%-0.03%0.10%
AUD0.64%0.45%0.25%-0.02%0.29%0.27%0.39%
NZD0.37%0.17%-0.02%-0.29%0.03%-0.27%0.11%
CHF0.25%0.06%-0.14%-0.42%-0.10%-0.39%-0.11%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Solana extends correction despite ETF inflows, RWA adoption

Solana (SOL) price edges below $70 extending its losses for the fourth straight day this week. The institutional demand for Solana is building, with steady inflows so far this week and Morgan Stanley’s amended S-1 filing for a Solana-focused Exchange-Traded Fund.

The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.